@Victoria33, looking at Worldometer's UK page, I see the UK is experiencing a bump. Whether that is mostly vaccinated or unvaccinated people I've not heard. And whether it turns into something more than a bump from a very low floor remains to be seen.
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
Former Trump advisor predicts: We're going to see a third wave of COVID, especially in red stateshttps://hotair.com/allahpundit/2021/06/14/former-trump-advisor-predicts-were-going-to-see-a-third-wave-of-covid-especially-in-red-states-n396590It’s hard to imagine we won’t see a wave now that the B.1.617 Indian/Delta variant is spreading in the U.S. and less than half the population remains fully vaccinated. But it feels newsy that a Trump alum like Bossert would sound a discouraging note after Republican opinion has already shifted to “the pandemic’s over, everyone take off your masks.”
Note that Bossert’s not predicting a disaster, just a rise in cases of some degree. Studies show that the mRNA vaccines work against the Indian variant; we also know from CDC data that more than three-quarters of senior citizens have been fully vaccinated. The most vulnerable people won’t be washed away by the next wave that crashes down on the U.S.
But some adults who remain unvaccinated will. It’s only a question of how many. Watch the last few minutes of this clip then read on.
1. Despite the prediction of CDC "experts" and now this guy's more carefully qualified prediction, there is no hint of a bump in new cases on Worldometer's US page. New cases continue to decline.
2. I'm underwhelmed by Allahpundit's capability for thinking things through. As he suggested, just 43.4% of the US population is "fully vaccinated" (
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations , as of yesterday morning). But there are several factors he did not consider.
First, 52.4% of the US population have received at least one vaccine dose. IOW, and additional 9% of the US population have received the first dose of either the Pfizer or Moderna vaccine. It has been learned that a single dose of those vaccines provides immunity similar in effectiveness to the single-dose J&J vaccine. That's 9% of people who have substantial immunity that Allahpundit ignored.
Second, based on observing that webpage almost daily, 800K-1M doses are injected daily. While not as great a rate as non-anti-vaxxers would wish, by the end of summer (late September) as many as 70-80 million more Americans might be at least partially vaccinated. IOW, the populations of the susceptible and of those who could transmit are shrinking steadily.
Third, children under age 12 are not allowed to be vaccinated. That's 10%-15% of the US population; thankfully, their risk appears to be significantly lower than for adults.
Fourth, based on Worldometer data, ~8.5% of the US population have immunity from recovery. While some of us have also gotten vaccinated, there is a counter-balancing group of unknown magnitude who either did not know they had Covid or didn't bother to get tested (of course, some of them may have gotten vaccinated).
Taking all that together, some 60%-65% of the US population have a significant degree of immunity, obviously a majority. That population of the immune is growing daily, while 10%-15% of the US population is not allowed, yet, to be vaccinated.
&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&
In miscellaneous news:
* Both Pfizer and Moderna have begun the Biologics License Application process for adults. A Biologics License means full FDA approval for a vaccine. Will anti-vaxxers give up their "experimental vaccine" talking-point? Probably not.
* Moderna last week applied for an expansion of their Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) to include youths age 12-17. Pfizer's EUA was expanded to include ages 12-15 in the first part of May
* Novavax announced that their vaccine had met the primary endpoints for its Phase 3 test, with 90.4% efficacy and 100% protection against moderate and severe disease,
https://ir.novavax.com/news-releases/news-release-details/novavax-covid-19-vaccine-demonstrates-90-overall-efficacy-and . Novavax plans to apply for EUA in coming weeks. Anti-vaxxers will have a third vaccine technology to shovel @#$% against, as Novavax uses protein subunit technology rather than mRNA or viral vector technology. I'm sure anti-vaxxers' capacity for lie creation is equal to that task.