General Category > Health/Education
Coronavirus cases hit a seven-month low.. BUT CDC expects new COVID surge starting this month
BassWrangler:
They are making educated guesses based on the data they have, but it's colored heavily by fear of the impact from getting it wrong. So everything takes a back seat to butt covering. You can see this in Fauci's statements - way too conservative in his projections and advice. So ultimately, while they are a good source of info, one should not make policy based solely on what you hear from the CDC.
Kamaji:
It may be concern about the Indian variant getting a hold here.
PeteS in CA:
--- Quote from: Kamaji on May 18, 2021, 02:07:41 pm ---It may be concern about the Indian variant getting a hold here.
--- End quote ---
As I posted in another thread:
--- Quote ---Both Pfizer/BioNtech And Moderna Vaccines Remain Active Against India Variants
https://brief19.com/2021/05/17/brief/both-pfizerbiontech-and-moderna-vaccines-remain-active-against-india-variants
--- Quote ---A new study preprinted on biorxiv by researchers at New York University provides good news. While some of the new variants described in India evade, to some degree, the antibodies of patients who have recovered from infection (convalescent plasma), both these antibodies and those derived from fully vaccinated people still appear to function as intended, at least in laboratory settings. To a lesser extent, the study found the same to be true of monoclonal antibodies (i.e. Regeneron's therapeutic compound). These data imply that the new variants, B.1.617 and B.1.618 may be a little more slippery in their ability to wriggle away from natural and vaccine-induced antibodies, but not enough that those antibodies are rendered ineffective. In particular, most people who have recovered from infection or have been vaccinated are likely to have antibodies that are good enough to provide protection (the true clinical effect of the monoclonal antibodies among the "original" or "wildtype" variants remains debated).\ Interestingly, the measured antibody levels among vaccinated persons were about 5 times greater than those found among samples of blood taken from covid-19-recovered persons. This once again demonstrates that vaccines induce a massive antibody response, which is likely what makes them so effective to begin with and also explains in part why they have, so far, been remarkably able to overcome an onslaught variants. That said, the strength of the binding between the B.1.617 variant and vaccine-induced antibodies dropped 4-fold in this laboratory-based study. A 2.7-fold decrease was noted for the B.1.618 variant.
--- End quote ---
Variants! Variants! Variants!
Wolf! Wolf! Wolf!
--- End quote ---
I haven't seen anything wrt the J&J or Novavax vaccines and the Indian variant, but aside from that it is known that the J&J, Moderna, Novavax, and Pfizer vaccines all have significant effectiveness against known major variants. Novavax is probably getting close to requesting Emergency Use Authorization from the FDA.
Because AstraZeneca's vaccine isn't effective against the South African variant, I wonder if AZ will request EUA. And if the Indian variants is a further mutation from the South African variant, I doubt they will request EUA. Sanofi has a vaccine about to begin Phase 3 testing, though its effectiveness across multiple variants isn't clear.
thackney:
--- Quote from: Kamaji on May 18, 2021, 02:07:41 pm ---It may be concern about the Indian variant getting a hold here.
--- End quote ---
The COVID-19 variant first identified in India has been found in the US
https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/553923-the-covid-19-variant-first-identified-in-india
May 17, 2021
On May 10, the World Health Organization (WHO) classified the coronavirus variant that was first identified in India as a “variant of concern” on a global level. This variant, named B.1.617, is thought to be more easily spread than the original versions of the novel coronavirus, and it has been linked to the current surge of cases in India....
...In April, Tennessee had cases from people who had recently traveled to India, according to The Associated Press (AP)....
...In Iowa, two cases were confirmed in early May, according to the AP. In Nebraska, a case caused by the B.1.617 variant was confirmed last week. The person has links to international travelers, according to the AP.
In Nevada last week, a woman who had not traveled and was not vaccinated tested positive for the B.1.617 variant, according to the AP. Eight other cases were also reported in Nevada....
libertybele:
Cases here in FL have plummeted and that is with the thousands of new people moving to our state on a weekly basis.
I am suspect of this prediction of a surge. I am suspect of all the "variants".
If people like Fauci and cronies released the virus on us for their own political gain and agendas, they certainly will do it again.
Otherwise ... why do we need a 3rd shot and more to come? Meanwhile the drive towards socialism continues while our Republic is dismantled and our economy is destroyed.
It's time for people to wake the heck up!!!!
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