Author Topic: The Pandemic Could Be ‘Effectively’ Over by April, According to J.P. Morgan  (Read 755 times)

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Offline jmyrlefuller

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https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-pandemic-could-be-effectively-over-by-april-j-p-morgan-says-heres-why-51613163599?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=news_tab&utm_content=algorithm

The current trajectory of Covid-19 cases and vaccinations implies that the global pandemic could be as good as over in just a couple of months, a team of J.P. Morgan analysts that includes global head of quantitative and derivatives strategy Marko Kolanovic said on Friday. That’s a much faster timeline than the market and most economists are working with.

“…While the dataset is still small, statistical analysis of current vaccination data is consistent with a strong decline (i.e. effective end) of the pandemic within ~40-70 days.”

That range means somewhere between the end of March and the end of April—in other words, just around the corner.

(Excerpt)
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Offline jmyrlefuller

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Short version:

—The allegedly more contagious UK strain has no overall impact on the trajectory of the curve, citing data from Florida, California and Denmark.
—Vaccinating the over 65 crowd will have a disproportionate impact on reducing hospitalizations and deaths; data from existing vaccinations are in line with those projections.
« Last Edit: February 14, 2021, 11:47:42 pm by jmyrlefuller »
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Offline PeteS in CA

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As of yesterday AM some 37M Americans have received at least one of the two vaccine doses. Further, some 27.7M Americans have recovered from Covid. So some 64M Americans plus even more who were asymptomatic and were never tested have significant immunity. That's 20% or more of the US population. We aren't at herd immunity but are going there at a 1M-2M vaccinations a day clip. If several states would get their @#$% together it'd be even faster.
If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"? Is reality a Big Pharma Shill?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline mountaineer

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A friend - M.D., family practice- said months ago the pandemic was over. As he has been in the trenches, I will listen to him.
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Offline 240B

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If this 'pandemic' was a real thing, wouldn't the homeless population be down to zero by now?
They are not wearing Fauci's stupid masks. They are not washing their hands or anything else.
They are not getting a vaccine. So why are they all still alive and active?
So, COVID only affects the middle class but not homeless people?
What kind of deal is this?
The homeless should be wiped out by this. But they are not. In fact, they are thriving.
You cannot "COEXIST" with people who want to kill you.
If they kill their own with no conscience, there is nothing to stop them from killing you.
Rational fear and anger at vicious murderous Islamic terrorists is the same as irrational antisemitism, according to the Leftists.

Offline libertybele

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If this 'pandemic' was a real thing, wouldn't the homeless population be down to zero by now?
They are not wearing Fauci's stupid masks. They are not washing their hands or anything else.
They are not getting a vaccine. So why are they all still alive and active?
So, COVID only affects the middle class but not homeless people?
What kind of deal is this?
The homeless should be wiped out by this. But they are not. In fact, they are thriving.

Excellent point.
I Believe in the United States of America as a Government of the people, by the people, for the people; whose just powers are derived from the consent of the governed; a democracy in a republic; a sovereign nation of many sovereign states; a perfect union one and inseparable; established upon those principles of freedom, equality, justice and humanity for which American patriots sacrificed their lives and fortunes.  I therefore believe it is my duty to my country to love it; to support its Constitution; to obey its laws to respect its flag; and to defend it against all enemies.

Offline PeteS in CA

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If this 'pandemic' was a real thing, wouldn't the homeless population be down to zero by now?
...

The disease is real, it is transmitted fairly easily, and it can kill - BTDT, except it didn't kill me, just put me in the hospital. All that said, that the homeless population hasn't been clobbered is something that deserves study and an explanation. One would at least think that the druggie and alkie segment of the homeless population would be pretty vulnerable, if the mental case, voluntary, and working-but-can't-yet-afford-rent-and-deposits segments aren't.
If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"? Is reality a Big Pharma Shill?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline The_Reader_David

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If this 'pandemic' was a real thing, wouldn't the homeless population be down to zero by now?
They are not wearing Fauci's stupid masks. They are not washing their hands or anything else.
They are not getting a vaccine. So why are they all still alive and active?
So, COVID only affects the middle class but not homeless people?
What kind of deal is this?
The homeless should be wiped out by this. But they are not. In fact, they are thriving.

Out here in Kansas, we wear our masks when indoors in public.  We don't wear them outdoors, because in the open air the probability of transmission is very low.  Guess what!  The homeless live outdoors.
And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know what this was all about.

Offline jmyrlefuller

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Out here in Kansas, we wear our masks when indoors in public.  We don't wear them outdoors, because in the open air the probability of transmission is very low.  Guess what!  The homeless live outdoors.
That, and inability to pay rent/mortgage due to continued restrictions on certain "non-essential" sectors of the economy, and the rapid spike in drug abuse, could easily be driving more people onto the streets.
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Offline thackney

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If this 'pandemic' was a real thing, wouldn't the homeless population be down to zero by now?
They are not wearing Fauci's stupid masks. They are not washing their hands or anything else.
They are not getting a vaccine. So why are they all still alive and active?
So, COVID only affects the middle class but not homeless people?
What kind of deal is this?
The homeless should be wiped out by this. But they are not. In fact, they are thriving.

 Why would something only 1~2% fatal wipe out an entire group?
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Offline mountaineer

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Why would something only 1~2% fatal wipe out an entire group?
Perhaps the assumption is that the homeless do not take all the precautions the rest of us do. The virus is 99% survivable, presumably, but only if you're distancing, masking, not interacting with other people, etc. If those CDC guidelines are not being followed in the homeless camp under the bridge, shouldn't the infection and death rates be much higher there?

Or is the CDC full of baloney?
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Offline PeteS in CA

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Perhaps the assumption is that the homeless do not take all the precautions the rest of us do. The virus is 99% survivable, presumably, but only if you're distancing, masking, not interacting with other people, etc. If those CDC guidelines are not being followed in the homeless camp under the bridge, shouldn't the infection and death rates be much higher there?

Or is the CDC full of baloney?

There is also the assumption that homeless people have compromised immune systems, which I think is partly true (druggies and alkies). That the "homeless community" haven't been clobbered is an anomaly worth understanding. @The_Reader_David made a good point. The Sacred Homeless live outdoors, where transmission is much lower ("The answer my friend, is blowin' in the wind ..."). Since many states have shut down all outdoor gatherings, regardless of how organized for safety *, an honest study of of the anomaly would threaten bureaucrats' power.

* Running event organizers in the SF Bay Area have been shut down entirely since mid March last year. Since they know how to organize safe food and drink handling at aid stations and how to do staged starts to keep groups entering the course reasonably sized, organizing for Covid safety would be within their organizational skillset. Ditto for churches and many other businesses and organizations that do large-ish gatherings. But No-Thought Regulations serve bureaucrats' officious power hunger.
If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"? Is reality a Big Pharma Shill?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline thackney

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The virus is 99% survivable, presumably, but only if you're distancing, masking, not interacting with other people, etc....

None of those things effect mortality rate, only infection rates.
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Offline Victoria33

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News this morning - we have 7 NEW virus strains in this country.

Offline corbe

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   In spite of what you see on busy street corners, the homeless, primarily due to the above mentioned short comings, do not associate with the general public and don't have a TV.
No government in the 12,000 years of modern mankind history has led its people into anything but the history books with a simple lesson, don't let this happen to you.

Offline Wingnut

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   In spite of what you see on busy street corners, the homeless, primarily due to the above mentioned short comings, do not associate with the general public and don't have a TV.

 :pondering:

That is true.  Without TV there would be no Pandemic.
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Offline corbe

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No government in the 12,000 years of modern mankind history has led its people into anything but the history books with a simple lesson, don't let this happen to you.

Offline PeteS in CA

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News this morning - we have 7 NEW virus strains in this country.

@Victoria33, oh baloney! Viruses mutate easily. By now there are millions or billions of sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-...-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-sub-strains of SARS-CoV-2 in circulation. You just have to look at every bit of every gene to discern them. Why are you buying MSM alarmist BS? Do you need to be scared by them?

And lest I forget, where is the evidence that supports your accusation that Trump attempted to murder Mike Pence?
If, as anti-Covid-vaxxers claim, https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2021/robert-f-kennedy-jr-said-the-covid-19-vaccine-is-the-deadliest-vaccine-ever-made-thats-not-true/ , https://gospelnewsnetwork.org/2021/11/23/covid-shots-are-the-deadliest-vaccines-in-medical-history/ , The Vaccine is deadly, where in the US have Pfizer and Moderna hidden the millions of bodies of those who died of "vaccine injury"? Is reality a Big Pharma Shill?

Millions now living should have died. Anti-Covid-Vaxxer ghouls hardest hit.

Offline Wingnut

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News this morning - we have 7 NEW virus strains in this country.

Just don't use the 1st Bathroom you see in the Airport when you disembark and you will be fine.  Everyone knows That is where all the viruses go to mutate.
I am just a Technicolor Dream Cat riding this kaleidoscope of life.

Offline MOD8

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@jmyrlefuller and @Victoria33, please take personal stuff into PMs rather than diverting a thread into personal stuff.

Offline jmyrlefuller

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@jmyrlefuller and @Victoria33, please take personal stuff into PMs rather than diverting a thread into personal stuff.
Duly noted. Post removed.
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