No, Climate Change Is Not Causing More Ice Drownings
James Taylor -
November 21, 20200
The New York Times, Google News, and other corporate media outlets are scaring people with articles today claiming global warming is causing more winter ice drownings. The articles reference a newly published study claiming more people fall through the ice and drown on days when winter temperatures are warmer than is the case on days when winter temperatures are colder. Such a truism, however, does not mean more people are drowning as the Earth modestly warms. To the contrary, real-world data suggest there has either been no change in ice-related drownings, or that ice-related drownings are becoming less frequent as the Earth warms. This stands to reason, as a smaller percentage of the planet experiences conditions in which lakes and ponds freeze in the first place.
The science journal Plos One has just published a study in which scientists analyzed data on people falling through weak surface ice on lakes and ponds and subsequently drown. The study finds that people are much more likely to drown in such a manner when air temperatures are near the freezing mark than when air temperatures are 10-or-more degrees Celsius (14-or-more-degrees Fahrenheit) below freezing. That stands to reason, as surface ice is much deeper and able to hold more weight when temperatures are far below freezing.https://climaterealism.com/2020/11/no-climate-change-is-not-causing-more-ice-drownings/