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Offline mystery-ak

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Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« on: November 02, 2020, 06:54:51 pm »
Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
By John Bowden - 11/02/20 01:27 PM EST

Sabato's Crystal Ball predicts that former Vice President Joe Biden will win a commanding victory in the Electoral College on Tuesday, picking up the battleground states of Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina, among others.

The nonpartisan election analyst blog published by the University of Virginia Center for Politics released its final projection for the 2020 election on Monday, indicating the Democratic nominee will win a number of states captured by President Trump in 2016.

Kyle Kondik
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FINAL CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS -- THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Biden 321, Trump 217

Biden restores some of the Dem Midwest strength and breaks new ground in Sun Belt



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Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics and the founder of Sabato's Crystal Ball, faced criticism from Trump after his late-October 2016 prediction that Clinton would win more than 350 votes in the Electoral College.

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524002-sabato-final-projection-has-biden-winning-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia-nc
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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 07:09:17 pm »
Gimme a break. Even the Dems know it's closer than this.

I think Trump will keep the states he won in '16 and maybe pick up MN.
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Offline godblessRonaldReagan

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 07:29:05 pm »
Sabato is our local (central VA) pundit. He's an idiot, firmly in the back pocket of the Dems. Whatever he says, you can take the opposite of that to the bank.
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Online Hoodat

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 08:26:22 pm »
Quote from: godblessRonaldReagan on November 02, 2020, 07:29:05 pm
Sabato is our local (central VA) pundit. He's an idiot, firmly in the back pocket of the Dems. Whatever he says, you can take the opposite of that to the bank.

Charlottesville has taken the term 'cesspool' to a new level.  Hopefully, Bob Good will prevail in the 5th District Congressional race.  Haven't seen it go Dem since 2008.  The libs in C'ville can suck it.
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 08:41:40 pm »
Kevin McCullough
@KMCRadio
·
4m
BREAKING: @IBDinvestors
 releases new polling that shows momentum swinging to @POTUS
. They show him WINNING #Hispanics (at minimum 51%) & though they try to deflect the meaning they show @realDonaldTrump
 with record-breaking 32% with Black voters!

VOTE!!!




https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tight-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/
« Last Edit: November 02, 2020, 08:43:29 pm by mystery-ak »
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Offline Polly Ticks

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 08:47:23 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on November 02, 2020, 08:41:40 pm
they show @realDonaldTrump with record-breaking 32% with Black voters

That is huge.
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 09:11:10 pm »
Polls are unreliable.  Tomorrow is going to be a day of reality.  Gauging by the turnout at the rallies, it would sure seem very likely that Trump should win by a landslide; but he's up against immeasurable corruption and fraud.

God Bless America and God Bless President Donald J. Trump!  :patriot: :patriot: :patriot: :patriot: :patriot: :patriot: :patriot:
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Offline skeeter

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 09:13:11 pm »
Quote from: Polly Ticks on November 02, 2020, 08:47:23 pm
That is huge.
If true there is no way Biden can win.
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Offline GtHawk

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 09:22:26 pm »
Quote from: skeeter on November 02, 2020, 09:13:11 pm
If true there is no way Biden can win.
You mean no honest way Biden can win.
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Offline skeeter

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 09:24:40 pm »
Quote from: GtHawk on November 02, 2020, 09:22:26 pm
You mean no honest way Biden can win.

Yes thats what I mean.

The worst rat election day perfidy happens in inner city districts. I wonder if that becomes more complicated for them if a third of that vote comes out for Trump.
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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 09:40:10 pm »
Final Rasmussen Polls for 2016 and 2020

2016

Clinton 45 Trump 43

2020

Biden 48 Trump 47

321 EV's to Biden, my ass.
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Online Hoodat

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 09:56:17 pm »
Quote from: catfish1957 on November 02, 2020, 09:40:10 pm

321 EV's to Biden, my ass.

You got that right.  Sabato's map shows these 6 states as leaning Dem.  Not counting these states, Biden leads Trump 228 to 222:

Georgia - 16
North Carolina - 15
Pennsylvania - 20
Michigan -16
Wisconsin - 10
Arizona - 11

Trump will need 48 electoral votes from this group of States.

GA + NC + WI + AZ = 52

Assuming Trump carries GA and NC, he will need 16 more votes from PA, MI, WI, and AZ.  Either PA wins it for him outright, or two of the remaining 3.  In other words, Biden will have to win PA and two out of three between MI, WI, and AZ  to win.  I don't see Biden winning any of them.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Sabato final projection has Biden winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, NC
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 10:54:33 pm »
Any call before 11/5 that is less than 300 EVs for Trump will guarantee strife through the middle of December.  Riots aplenty in the meantime, because baby needs a new pair of designer tennis shoes.  And a big screen TeeVee for baby daddy.
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