The One Metric That Has Decided Every Presidential Winner Since 1988...And Trump Has a Lock on It

[Right_in_Virginia]

The One Metric That Has Decided Every Presidential Winner Since 1988...And Trump Has a Lock on It
Townhall, Oct 12, 2020, Matt Vespa

Again, David Chapman and PollWatch are two good accounts that have been tracking the polling this cycle and cutting through the nonsense from the liberal media. There’s been a lot of funny business with the polling folks. Firms conducting polls around the same time but getting different results. We have shy Trump voters. We youth vote interest tanking in this election cycle to levels not seen since 2000. Some polls have one million fewer young people voting this year. But somehow Biden is going to win by like 12 points. It’s unreliable to the nth degree. So, what Chapman did was compile a thread that cuts through a lot of the liberal media silliness out there. For starters, he nixes the idea that bad economies kill incumbents. Yes, that was the case for Bush 41, but historically the incumbent party is 12-11 when facing re-election during an economic downturn.

And speaking of incumbents, Chapman added, “no incumbent who has received at least 75% of the primary vote has lost re-election. Donald Trump received 94% of the primary vote, which is the 4th highest all-time. Higher than Eisenhower, Nixon, Clinton, and Obama.”

Oh, and it gets better.

“Three times in history America has faced a pandemic, recession, and civil unrest during an election year. The incumbent party is 3-0 in those elections,” wrote Chapman “What about polls? Well, polls are predicting Trump's win. The ABC poll shows Trump with a 19-point enthusiasm advantage.”

He noted that every candidate who held the edge in voter enthusiasm since 1988 has won the election.


More:  https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2020/10/12/thread-by-every-historical-metric-and-trend-donald-trump-will-win-this-election-n2577926

[Right_in_Virginia]

The ABC poll shows Trump with a 19-point enthusiasm advantage

He noted that every candidate who held the edge in voter enthusiasm since 1988 has won the election.

Miami, FL - Oct 10, 2020




Sanford, FL- Oct 12, 2020

[Right_in_Virginia]

FTA

We've never seen primary participation levels for an incumbent like we did in the 2020 GOP primary. Trump set a record for most votes received by an incumbent with 18.1M.

The previous record was held by Bill Clinton with 9.7M primary votes.

[bilo]

Let's pray he's right.

For the life of me I can't see a majority of our country wanting to destroy our system of govt. It's as clear as can be that the Rats intend to pack the SCOTUS with radical leftists, add States so they can pick up Senate and House seats, and end the electoral college. In the end we would not only lose our 2nd Amend. rights, but also freedom of speech, and have radical leftist policies imposed on us by those not only living on the coasts but also not having to live with the consequences of those policies. 

[verga]

In my area I am seeing a lot more Trump Pence signs. But I am in a semi rural area. Richmond and NOVA call the shots in Virginia.

[Right_in_Virginia]

Dan Scavino
@DanScavino

10/12/2020 | Sanford, Florida!

Video:

https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1315845267376218118

10:42 PM · Oct 12, 2020·Twitter for iPhone

[libertybele]

Let's pray he's right.

For the life of me I can't see a majority of our country wanting to destroy our system of govt. It's as clear as can be that the Rats intend to pack the SCOTUS with radical leftists, add States so they can pick up Senate and House seats, and end the electoral college. In the end we would not only lose our 2nd Amend. rights, but also freedom of speech, and have radical leftist policies imposed on us by those not only living on the coasts but also not having to live with the consequences of those policies.

For the life of me I can't imagine anyone with an ounce of brain power voting for Biden.  Unfortunately there are a lot of LIV who believe everything that is reported by the MSM and will vote for anyone other than Trump or anyone with a "D" next to their name. 

Remember the MSM and the DEMS have been proclaiming that Trump is an illegitimate President, Russian collusion, reasons for impeachment, responsible for COVID, etc.  Yes, people are that stupid and believe what they've been fed. 

Also, and I've said this many times, never ever underestimate the fraud and corruption of the leftists.  That's why the push for mail in votes and now they are calling on Barrett (if she's seated) to recuse herself from anything that pertains to the election of Trump -- there's a reason why.

[Fishrrman]

bilo wrote:
"For the life of me I can't see a majority of our country wanting to destroy our system of govt."

I can.
Just... imagine.
It's easy if you try.

Imagine two generations of public school kids brought up to believe that America is a country that was evil from the beginning.

Imagine that for 50 years blacks have been told that their problems are due to "white racism" and not because of their own behavior and devolving culture.

Imagine 30-40 million illegals streaming into the nation, from nations that have no cultural heritage of freedom.

Imagine a university system that is staffed almost entirely by leftist-communists, dedicated to the indoctrination of their students to the socialist/marxist cause.

Imagine a print and television media that is in the tank for the socialist-communists, who pride themselves of being change agents to tear down the American system.

Imagine.
Like I said... it's easy if you try.

[libertybele]

bilo wrote:
"For the life of me I can't see a majority of our country wanting to destroy our system of govt."

I can.
Just... imagine.
It's easy if you try.

Imagine two generations of public school kids brought up to believe that America is a country that was evil from the beginning.

Imagine that for 50 years blacks have been told that their problems are due to "white racism" and not because of their own behavior and devolving culture.

Imagine 30-40 million illegals streaming into the nation, from nations that have no cultural heritage of freedom.

Imagine a university system that is staffed almost entirely by leftist-communists, dedicated to the indoctrination of their students to the socialist/marxist cause.

Imagine a print and television media that is in the tank for the socialist-communists, who pride themselves of being change agents to tear down the American system.

Imagine.
Like I said... it's easy if you try.

"...... imagine millions of courageous conservatives, all across America, rising up together to say in unison “we demand our liberty.”

 --- Ted Cruz

Yet people declined to vote for a true conservative. I hope that those same people are willing to stand up and demand freedom.

...." If freedom is what we want, it is our for the taking.  Let the Revolution begin".

 --- Ron Paul