Pollster: 50-point swing from 2016 in Biden's favor among voters who hate both candidates
by Daniel Chaitin
| May 23, 2020 01:34 PM
Dislike of both major candidates worked out for President Trump in 2016. It doesn't look like it will pan out in his favor in 2020.
Charlie Cook, editor of the popular politics blog Cook Political Report, said Quinnipiac University crunched the numbers, and they show that voters who dislike both Joe Biden and Trump will vote for Biden by a larger margin than they jilted Hillary Clinton four years ago — a swing of about 50 points.
"I asked the Quinnipiac people — they're terrific, by the way — I asked them today if they could run something to see: OK, of the people that have an unfavorable view of both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, how do they break on the trial heat? And Biden is ahead 49-18 among the people that dislike both of them, while they cut by a 20-point margin against Hillary Clinton," he said last week on MSNBC.
"So, this is something, it's very, very — to me, it's really interesting," he continued as host Lawrence O'Donnell said, "Wow."
excerpt:
Biden commands a strong 5.5-point lead over Trump in general election polls, but polling data also show Trump ahead in every battleground state, giving him the Electoral College advantage. In late May 2016, according to the RealClearPolitics general election tracker, Trump and Clinton were neck and neck, though generally throughout the contest, Clinton had stronger polling numbers before her defeat.
One major factor this time around will be the economy, a strength Trump had loudly touted before the COVID-19 pandemic.
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