Bloomberg and Kasich will announce a Third-Party Run.
I don’t think so. Bloomberg said he wants to use his money to defeat Donald. Pending a miracle or a brokered convention he can’t win. So he’ll have to use his money to support either Biden or Bernie, or make an official announcement about Hillary or who will be his runnning mate.
Now if history serves me correctly, in 68 Nixon won against Humphrey with Wallace as the third party. I don’t recall if Wallace helped or hindered Nixon.
In 1980 Reagan won over Carter with John Anderson as the third party person. I can tell you I know people in real life both parties who voted for Anderson, so I’m not sure if he took major votes away from either party.
The only other third person I can recall in my lifetime is in 1992, Clinton Bush Perot. According to Wikipedia, Perot got 18.9% of the popular vote. If it had been a two person race, would Bush have been a two term president? Would Clinton never had been?
This is my gut why Bloomberg won’t run as a third party for president. Because of Perot. He could take votes away from Trump, and he could take votes away from the Democrats. Huge risk. My gut is telling me Trump will be a two term president.