We are still several months out from the election. People right now in the U.S. are panicking. Fear and greed drive the market. Right now the U.S. economy is still pretty solid. If between now and the election the U.S. enters a recession, the word "recession" alone will be a negative mark on Trump's record and it could hurt him. We still don't know which socialist will win the DEM nomination, but IF people start losing their jobs, unable to make ends meet, go on to food stamps, etc., perhaps the socialist list of freebies might look pretty enticing and the socialist will capture their vote.