#Trump2020Landslide – By the Numbers

[mystery-ak]

February 14, 2020
#Trump2020Landslide – By the Numbers
By Brian C. Joondeph

A popular Twitter hashtag is #Trump2020Landslide. Is this wishful thinking or a real possibility? Let’s look at the electoral landscape over the next 9 months.

As an initial caveat, understand the difference between confidence and overconfidence. The former is a realistic expectation going forward of favorable electoral winds based on a thoughtful analysis. The latter is thoughtless and dangerous based on emotion and desire, rather than data and realism.

Republicans learned this lesson during the George HW Bush presidency. Bush enjoyed an 89 percent Gallup job approval in February 1991 after US victory in the Persian Gulf War. A little over a year later the bottom fell out after Bush reneged on his campaign promise, “Read my lips, no new taxes,” nudging the economy into a recession. In July 1992, his approval rating was an anemic 29 percent. Welcome, President Bill Clinton.

Could something similar befall the Trump reelection efforts? Certainly. The economy is strong, but economies are cyclic, and recessions inevitably occur. The media can’t destroy Trump as they didn’t create him. Big media has been shooting spitballs at Superman Trump, everything bouncing off him and smacking the media in the face.

more
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/02/trump2020landslide__by_the_numbers.html

[Fishrrman]

No.
There won't be a "Trump landslide" in 2020.

Mr. Trump will win a modestly comfortable victory, and that's all.
With luck, he'll keep the states he won in 2016, and possibly pick up Minnesota and New Hampshire as well. This will improve his electoral college total, but it won't be a blowout.

Similarly, he may pick up a modest majority of the popular vote.

But a "landslide"?
No way.
Those days are over for Republicans, and they ain't comin' back.

I've posted this before, and I'll repeat and keep repeating it until November 3rd.
I would VERY MUCH ENJOY being proven 100% wrong in front of every member of this forum, but I call 'em as I see 'em, and that's how I'm calling this one.