Author Topic: A Squeaker in 2020? Not Likely  (Read 169 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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A Squeaker in 2020? Not Likely
« on: August 26, 2019, 02:03:26 pm »
   A Squeaker in 2020? Not Likely
By Dan McLaughlin

August 26, 2019 6:30 AM

If history is any guide, the election will not be close — whether the incumbent wins or loses.

Will Donald Trump’s reelection campaign be a nail-biter? No Republican president has ever been reelected with less than 50 percent of the vote. Historically, when a president runs for reelection, it usually isn’t close. Of the 31 times in U.S. history that a sitting president ran for reelection, 19 of those were blowouts: 15 easy wins, 4 lopsided losses. Among the other 12, nearly half offered very little real suspense at the end. Let’s rank the twelve closest presidential reelection races in American history to see how few of them were really that close.

    Woodrow Wilson (D), 1916: Won
    Popular vote: 49.2 percent (won by 3.12 percent)
    Electoral vote: 277–254 (52.2 percent)

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https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/08/presidential-reelection-cliffhangers-rare/
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Offline Fishrrman

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Re: A Squeaker in 2020? Not Likely
« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2019, 01:40:35 am »
I will go on record in disagreement.

The country is too ideologically divided now. We will never see "a Republican landslide" again, and any elections in which a Republican wins the presidency will be by relatively close margins or else by the Electoral College only.

Absolutely fearless prediction:
There will never be a victory like the one Reagan had in 1984 again.

Those days are over for America.
At least for America as it exists NOW (i.e., in our "pre-2nd-civil-conflict" stage).

Perhaps AFTER that "conflict" (whatever form it's going to take, as yet this is unknown), and AFTER "the Reconstruction" that follows, landslide victories in presidential elections may again occur.

But for right now, them days is over.