Republicans fear Trump will lose Arizona

[mystery-ak]

Republicans fear Trump will lose Arizona
by Kerry Picket
 | August 15, 2019 12:01 AM



Some Democrats are eyeing Texas as a longshot pickup in the 2020 presidential race. But Republicans who are keeping an eye on the national electoral landscape say the party should be more concerned that Arizona could go from red to blue this time around.

“Arizona typically has been, in a presidential year, somewhere around an eight-point Republican advantage and Trump only won Arizona with about three points. So, I definitely think Arizona is very competitive and from my perspective." Paul Bentz, vice president of research and strategy at High Ground, a Phoenix-based firm specializing in public opinion surveys, strategy, and campaign management, told the Washington Examiner. "Arizona is more likely to be a toss-up than Texas is."

President Bill Clinton was the last Democrat to win Arizona, in 1996. Before that, Democrat Harry S. Truman pulled an election upset when he won the presidency with Arizona in 1948 against Republican Thomas Dewey. Republican presidential nominees have won the Copper State in all the other election cycles.

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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/republicans-concerned-over-trumps-strength-in-arizona-heading-into-2020

[Right_in_Virginia]

What a tortured article.   

[Hoodat]

But Republicans who are keeping an eye on the national electoral landscape say the party should be more concerned that Arizona could go from red to blue this time around.

The Party should be more concerned about offering a Conservative alternative to the Democrats instead of offering Democrat-lite.  Issues like 'catch-and-release' of illegals and multi-trillion-dollar deficits are actually worse now with Republicans in charge.

[cato potatoe]

Arizona is one of many states that could flip, but it would probably require a 5 or 6 point loss in the popular vote.  Other states would have flipped by that point.

[Mesaclone]

As an Arizonan, I'm very comfortable the state will not flip in THIS  election. On the other hand, I'm deeply concerned about McSally's senate seat and concerned about the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections. There is an unrelenting flow of Californians fleeing into AZ...and bringing their plague of idiocy with them.

[sneakypete]

As an Arizonan, I'm very comfortable the state will not flip in THIS  election. On the other hand, I'm deeply concerned about McSally's senate seat and concerned about the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections. There is an unrelenting flow of Californians fleeing into AZ...and bringing their plague of idiocy with them.

@Mesaclone

Not to mention an abundance of Mexicans.

[Cyber Liberty]

As an Arizonan, I'm very comfortable the state will not flip in THIS  election. On the other hand, I'm deeply concerned about McSally's senate seat and concerned about the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections. There is an unrelenting flow of Californians fleeing into AZ...and bringing their plague of idiocy with them.

I think there's a very good chance McSally loses this.  She lost running against the Rat Sinema, and got appointed to the seat she now holds because it was vacated when McCain left the mortal coil for his new residence in Hell.  I would not be the least bit surprised if we have two Rat Senators after 2020.  If Trump goes full gun-control, he will also lose AZ.  AZ is very proud of its gun heritage.

I met with McSally at a Meet & Greet last week, and I assured her that if she doesn't hold firm against the latest push to disarm us, she will certainly lose, so vote wisely even if it's against what Turtle wants.  Her seat depends on it.

(I was called a "bully" by another Briefer because of that.  LOL.)

[libertybele]

As an Arizonan, I'm very comfortable the state will not flip in THIS  election. On the other hand, I'm deeply concerned about McSally's senate seat and concerned about the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections. There is an unrelenting flow of Californians fleeing into AZ...and bringing their plague of idiocy with them.

I am concerned for the 2020 election.  AZ is not the only state that is seeing an influx of people from states like CA because of high cost of living and taxes.  I'm not recalling specifically, but didn't Trump restructure taxes in blue states to be highger and now the blue states are experiencing a mass exodus into the red states. That's been by design perhaps? 

FL, and TX are also seeing a large influx of people from blue states.

I predict if not by 2020, certainly by 2024, FL, and TX will be blue because of the influx from other states and certainly because of all the ILLEGALS pouring over our borders.

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

I am concerned for the 2020 election.  AZ is not the only state that is seeing an influx of people from states like CA because of high cost of living and taxes.  I'm not recalling specifically, but didn't Trump restructure taxes in blue states to be highger and now the blue states are experiencing a mass exodus into the red states. That's been by design perhaps? 

FL, and TX are also seeing a large influx of people from blue states.

I predict if not by 2020, certainly by 2024, FL, and TX will be blue because of the influx from other states and certainly because of all the ILLEGALS pouring over our borders.

The State and Local Tax deduction was capped at $10,000.

[Cyber Liberty]

The State and Local Tax deduction was capped at $10,000.

Not much of a problem for a state like AZ.  Big problem for Cali.