Let's face it: Bernie Sanders could be the next president
by Philip Klein
| April 02, 2019 04:05 PM
As outlandish as it might sound that an elderly socialist could win a national election, we should all wake up to the fact that it's now perfectly plausible that Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., could be the next president.
Though the campaign will take a lot and twists and turns over the next year and a half, ultimately it boils down to two questions: Could there be a scenario in which Sanders captures the Democratic nomination? And if he does, could there be a scenario in which he beats President Trump head-to-head? Breaking those questions down independently, one would have to answer yes to both.
Before going any further, it's worth dispensing with the plausibility issue — the idea that Sanders simply can't win because it would be too absurd. Given that nearly every professional analyst said the same thing about the possibility of Trump winning, it's worth shelving such assumptions about what's "realistic" in modern politics and just look at the possibility on its merits.
The argument for how Sanders could win the primary is pretty straightforward. At this point in the 2016 cycle, Sanders was 55 points behind front-runner Hillary Clinton and surged enough to make what was supposed to be a coronation into an actual race. One might be tempted to dismiss his performance as a matter of him emerging from a weak field as the main choice of those who wanted to fight the Clinton machine. And yet, four years later, in a much more crowded field of younger and more diverse candidates, Sanders is still one of the top two candidates.
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