0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
Resist the happy talk. This election is very bad for the GOP, and harbingers ill for 2020. With the exception of Ohio, Democrats have shown strength in the states that gave Donald Trump his victory in 2016. Ds took two Congressional seats in Iowa, defeated Scott Walker in his third gubernatorial bid in Wisconsin, and won most of the Pennsylvania House seats they tried for (with the happy exception of the defeat of the anti-Israel grandson-of-a-Soviet-lover Scott Wallace). Democrats romped in Michigan, notwithstanding a surprising showing for the GOP gubernatorial candidate (who still lost). (snip) Remember that 80,000 votes across three states in the upper Midwest made Trump president. Getting 80,000 new voters to replace the ones who didn’t turn out for Hillary Clinton in 2016 shouldn’t be that hard for Dems, especially since they know exactly where they need to go to get them. Meanwhile, The scenario I’ve painted here suggests states he won—Florida, Iowa, Georgia, Arizona—might be lost, in which case it doesn’t matter all that much what happens in the upper Midwest. Dems might only need to win one of those back, or two. Meanwhile, the results suggest there isn’t a single state Trump failed to carry that is moving in his direction.
By mid-term standards we didn't do bad. Not going to cry in my beer over this.
By mid-term standards we didn't do bad. By booming-economy standards, we should have done better. The Dems also were smart in running centrists in many of the swing districts they won. About 2/3rds of their pickups, according to analysis in the WJS, were the result of moderate candidates running in districts where voters were repelled by Trump's bullying rhetoric. Their media-darling progressives mostly lost.Conservative ideas still have more than a fighting chance. But we need a better face of the party than Donald Trump. We had a golden opportunity this year to solidify a conservative governing majority, but Trump turned out to be a millstone.
Yes, and many of their wins were sub-5% running as those moderates. So let Nancy go all bat crazy the next two years with nutty bar antics and see how those seats flip right back.
It may turn out to have been a Pyrrhic Victory for the Democrats, I don't see this coalition they have staying together for too long, by 2020 they may be very disunited, meanwhile Trump and the GOP can get their act together (I hope), and be a united front for 2020.