Author Topic: Cook moves Menendez race in New Jersey to tossup  (Read 400 times)

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Cook moves Menendez race in New Jersey to tossup
« on: October 26, 2018, 01:34:54 pm »
Cook moves Menendez race in New Jersey to tossup
By Lisa Hagen - 10/26/18 09:20 AM EDT

The Cook Political Report has shifted Sen. Bob Menendez’s (D-N.J.) reelection race to a toss-up in deep-blue New Jersey, a depressing development for Democrats who are having to protect a seat in a deep-blue state when they need to focus on protecting members in states where President Trump is more popular.

Menendez is facing a tough challenge from Republican Bob Hugin, a former pharmaceutical company CEO, in what’s become a closer-than-expected race in a state that Trump lost by 14 points in 2016. New Jersey hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972.

Jennifer Duffy, a Senate analyst for Cook, wrote on Friday that the race has become solely about Menendez’s ethic problems and voters' lack of enthusiasm. Menendez, who has denied any wrongdoing, has weathered attacks over his 2015 indictment of bribery and fraud charges.

His trial ended in a hung jury and federal prosecutors later dropped the charges. But the Senate Ethics Committee “severely” admonished Menendez earlier this year over the case.

“The biggest threat to Menendez’s re-election is not so much Hugin than it is the voter who goes to the polls and decides to send Menendez a message, much the way many did in the primary when 38 percent voted for his unknown primary opponent,” Duffy said.

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/413287-cook-moves-menendez-race-in-new-jersey-to-tossup
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Re: Cook moves Menendez race in New Jersey to tossup
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2018, 02:02:43 pm »
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Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Cook moves Menendez race in New Jersey to tossup
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2018, 10:57:53 am »
Quote
Flop Sweat: Democrats Pour Nearly Three Million More Dollars Into...New Jersey
Townhall, Oct 26, 2018, Guy Benson

It's a mirage, right?  I still cannot bring myself to believe that the New Jersey Senate race is actually in play for Republicans, but consider a few factors: (1) Dropping one seven-figure October ad buy in the Garden State might be dismissed asa cash-flush party acting out of an abundance of caution.  But dropping a second tranche?  That's not easily spinnable.  In fact, this very much looks like genuine concern:

Quote
Dan Merica
 âœ”  @merica 

.@MajorityPAC, is making an $2.8M ad buy in the NJ Senate race, reports @DavidWright_CNN. That is on top of the $3M buy they placed last week, putting their total spend on that race at around $5.8M.

CNN moved the race from Likely to Lean Democratic earlier this month.

10:40 AM - Oct 25, 2018

Nearly six million bucks in the last few weeks of the campaign feels like a brewing emergency that Democrats are desperate to stave off.  What are they seeing that prompted this deluge of cash?  (2) Maybe some more internal polls that resemble this one?  [http://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/menendez-hugin-october2018/]


More:  https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2018/10/26/flop-sweat-democrats-pour-nearly-three-million-more-dollars-intonew-jersey-n2532078