More Evidence For the Kavanaugh EffectThe latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Another 45% would opt for the Republican.
Historically, Democrats have usually underperformed on election day, compared with their generic poll standing. Normally, one would expect Republicans to do very well if they are even, or close to even, on the generic ballot. The big caveat here is that the Democrats are far better financed than the Republicans and have poured unprecedented amounts of money into the 30 or 40 districts that will determine which party holds the majority.
Last week, 47% of voters said they would choose the Democratic candidate while 42% said they would choose the Republican. It is unclear whether the sudden jump to a tie vote is a reflection of the anger surrounding the Kavanaugh confirmation process, but we will continue to watch this in the
"The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Another 45% would opt for the Republican.
Historically, Democrats have usually underperformed on election day, compared with their generic poll standing. Normally, one would expect Republicans to do very well if they are even, or close to even, on the generic ballot. The big caveat here is that the Democrats are far better financed than the Republicans and have poured unprecedented amounts of money into the 30 or 40 districts that will determine which party holds the majority.
Last week, 47% of voters said they would choose the Democratic candidate while 42% said they would choose the Republican. It is unclear whether the sudden jump to a tie vote is a reflection of the anger surrounding the Kavanaugh confirmation process, but we will continue to watch this in the"
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2018/10/more-evidence-for-the-kavanaugh-effect.php