OK, with Flake and Collins, we have 50 votes, providing that idiot Daines from Montana shows up. Mike Pence makes 51. Manchin can vote yes or no, will not matter.
Don't go raisin' yer glasses for a toast yet.
The votes aren't counted until tomorrow night or Sunday.
Even then, hold those glasses down until John Roberts swears in Judge Kavanaugh and Mr. Trump shakes his hand.
Addendum:
Manchin says "aye".
We're gettin' closer...!
I'm wondern' if Mitch made Manchin "an offa he can't refuse"?
Also, I'll guess that Murkowski had counted on Collins and Flake saying "no". Looks like she has made herself into persona non grata by jumpin' the shark too soon!