The 10 Most Vulnerable Senators in 2018: Cruz, Menendez Make the List

[SirLinksALot]

SOURCE: ROLL CALL

URL: http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/one-month-10-vulnerable-senators


For the first time this cycle, the senators on the list of most vulnerable incumbents have changed.

Operatives in both parties agree Democratic Sens. Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Bob Casey of Pennsylvania are favored to win re-election even though they are running in states that backed President Donald Trump in 2016. Texas Republican Ted Cruz and New Jersey Democrat Robert Menendez replace them on the list.

Red-state Democrats still dominate, with North Dakota Sen. Heidi Heitkamp remaining in the top spot. Nevada Republican Dean Heller is still the second-most vulnerable incumbent with the wind at Democrats’ backs this midterm.

Strategists on both sides say it’s too early to know how the battle over Trump’s Supreme Court pick Brett Kavanaugh could shake up these Senate races. His nomination hangs in the balance after Christine Blasey Ford’s testimony last week that he sexually assaulted her when they were in high school.

(Excerpt) Read more at above link....

[Emjay]

I don't agree with much in this column.  For one thing, Texas will NOT elect a crazy liberal.

[corbe]

   I agree @Emjay Cruz will win by at least 8~10%.

[Frank Cannon]

This list is based on conversations with strategists from both sides of the aisle, polling, and the race ratings from Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales.

So all the losers who haven't been able to predict an election since 2008.

[austingirl]

Cruz will win handily. Beatoff isn't worth the paper he's printed on.

[TomSea]

I think I saw a list of the 10 most vulnerable Senators in another article and neither Cruz nor Menendez were in it. Polls only count for so much,  New Jersey polls indicate quite a few different outcomes.

[libertybele]

I don't agree with much in this column.  For one thing, Texas will NOT elect a crazy liberal.

I'm going to hold you to your comments @Emjay @corbe @austingirl

[corbe]

   I'll put my money where my mouth is @libertybele  $20 to the TBR kitty if Cruz loses by less than 8%.  As long as Cruz don't lose and I don't think he will, I win.

[libertybele]

   I'll put my money where my mouth is @libertybele  $20 to the TBR kitty if Cruz loses by less than 8%.  As long as Cruz don't lose and I don't think he will, I win.

@corbe a loss for Ted is going to be a huge victory for Beto and the DEMS; % points 'ain't' going to matter.

[jafo2010]

Republicans have a net gain of four seats.

[Sanguine]

Republicans have a net gain of four seats.

You could be correct.  Oddly, the Kavanaugh imbroglio may have been exactly what was needed at this time.