Millennial women leaving the Republican Party in droves: Pew

[mystery-ak]

Millennial women leaving the Republican Party in droves: Pew
by Katelyn Caralle
 | March 21, 2018 10:26 AM

Millennial women are leaving the Republican Party in droves in recent years, with less than a quarter of younger women voters now identifying as Republicans.

Between 2002 and 2017, millennial women who identify as Democrat grew from 54 percent to 70 percent, according to a new Pew Research poll. Conversely, 23 percent of millennial women now identify as Republican as compared to 36 percent in 2002.

The amount of millennial men who identified as Democrat has gone from 52 to 49 percent in that same time frame. About 41 percent of millennial men identify as Republican, compared to 39 percent in 2002.

more
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/millennial-women-leaving-the-republican-party-in-droves-pew

[Frank Cannon]

This poll doesn't make sense. First off the age bracket for Millennials is not even really defined by a date. For the most part they just started voting this decade and they were Obama voters to the hilt. You can't go back to 2001 to make a comparison.

https://www.politico.com/story/2012/11/study-youth-vote-was-decisive-083510

https://www.forbes.com/forbes/welcome/?toURL=https://www.forbes.com/sites/joelkotkin/2012/11/07/why-obama-won-hispanics-millenials-were-the-difference-makers/&refURL=https://www.google.com/&referrer=https://www.google.com/

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-hais-and-morley-winograd/its-official-millennials_b_144357.html

 

[jmyrlefuller]

Embracing the alphabet soup lobby agenda. Increasingly living "childfree" and "boyfriend-free" lives. More are attending college, with much of that being shipped into public union jobs like nursing and teaching, and increased dependency with student loan debt.

Is it any wonder the Democratic Party's approach is so titillating to the immature?

[edpc]

It wouldn't surprise me.  They tend to speak with that Marie Harf affectation where everything sounds like a valley girl question.  Why would I expect them to be the least bit informed?

[Free Vulcan]

Millennials weren't voting in 2002 (unless you accept the ridiculous ranges from Pew Research). The very first ones would have been eligible to vote in '04, and since they are already liberal anyway, this was a statistic bound to demographically happen.

[Frank Cannon]

Millennials weren't voting in 2002 (unless you accept the ridiculous ranges from Pew Research). The very first ones would have been eligible to vote in '04, and since they are already liberal anyway, this was a statistic bound to demographically happen.

This is more Trump hate bullshit from a paper who was a Rubio supporter in '16. They all have wet dreams about him running again in '20.

[dfwgator]

They never were Republicans anyway.

[LauraTXNM]

If you all read the Pew research used in this article and cited in its second paragraph, most of your questions will be answered.

For example, the millennial age group is defined as born 1981-1996.  By 2014, nearly all of the millennials were of voting age.

Yadda yadda yadda.

[Suppressed]

This poll doesn't make sense. First off the age bracket for Millennials is not even really defined by a date.

It's defined by two dates, right in the report: "born 1981 to 1996".  If you want more discussion, see
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/03/01/defining-generations-where-millennials-end-and-post-millennials-begin/

For the most part they just started voting this decade and they were Obama voters to the hilt. You can't go back to 2001 to make a comparison.

Of course you can.  It's showing how as the cohort grew, the tendency drifted away from the GOP.  Not good news.


The problem is, young women tend to be Democrats.  The minority who are Republican are so out of principle.  And there are those who say we have to move away from principle, that we shouldn't have moral superiority, that a moral America never existed.  When a party is sending such a message, it's no wonder principled women move to independence.  So even that minority of women is lost.

[Suppressed]

Is it any wonder the Democratic Party's approach is so titillating to the immature?

The shift appears to be mainly to independence.

Millennials (gray=Independent):

[dfwgator]

The shift appears to be mainly to independence.
 

Like Bobby sang, "You're gonna have to serve somebody".

[LauraTXNM]

It's defined by two dates, right in the report: "born 1981 to 1996".  If you want more discussion, see
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/03/01/defining-generations-where-millennials-end-and-post-millennials-begin/

Of course you can.  It's showing how as the cohort grew, the tendency drifted away from the GOP.  Not good news.


The problem is, young women tend to be Democrats.  The minority who are Republican are so out of principle.  And there are those who say we have to move away from principle, that we shouldn't have moral superiority, that a moral America never existed.  When a party is sending such a message, it's no wonder principled women move to independence.  So even that minority of women is lost.

Thank you, @Suppressed!

[Free Vulcan]

If you all read the Pew research used in this article and cited in its second paragraph, most of your questions will be answered.

For example, the millennial age group is defined as born 1981-1996.  By 2014, nearly all of the millennials were of voting age.

Yadda yadda yadda.

That's Pew's range for defining the group. The problem is that the oldest would have almost been in high school before the internet was widely available, and it really doesn't fit the idea of Millennials being the tech savvy young generation.

The other is they make the Boomer generation 20 years, but GenX and Millennials just 15 years, a completely arbitrary designation.

In reality, Millennials should be from 1986 - 2005, which far more fits their life experiences that you think of for that generation.

[Suppressed]

That's Pew's range for defining the group.

...along with the majority of demographers, within a year each way.

[Frank Cannon]

It's defined by two dates, right in the report: "born 1981 to 1996".  If you want more discussion, see
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/03/01/defining-generations-where-millennials-end-and-post-millennials-begin/

Of course you can.  It's showing how as the cohort grew, the tendency drifted away from the GOP.  Not good news.


The problem is, young women tend to be Democrats.  The minority who are Republican are so out of principle.  And there are those who say we have to move away from principle, that we shouldn't have moral superiority, that a moral America never existed.  When a party is sending such a message, it's no wonder principled women move to independence.  So even that minority of women is lost.

There is no defined start to this age group. That is the problem with this garbage poll. They started it at 1981 so that they could rope in voters that either were not great enough in number to matter to come up with a preconceived result. If you shift these numbers to where half of this group was voting, 2008, they were overwhelmingly Rat. It means there was no loss of voters. It means they were never there.

[libertybele]

There is no defined start to this age group. That is the problem with this garbage poll. They started it at 1981 so that they could rope in voters that either were not great enough in number to matter to come up with a preconceived result. If you shift these numbers to where half of this group was voting, 2008, they were overwhelmingly Rat. It means there was no loss of voters. It means they were never there.

While polls have been pretty unreliable in the past several years.  Pew is basically non-partisan, so I believe them to be somewhat more reliable and accurate.

[Frank Cannon]

While polls have been pretty unreliable in the past several years.  Pew is basically non-partisan, so I believe them to be somewhat more reliable and accurate.

Every poll is accurate to what it wants to prove.

[Free Vulcan]

...along with the majority of demographers, within a year each way.

Yes, because they are trying to shift mass perceptions of the generations. Problem is their proclamations just don't add up.

[endicom]

Not leaving but eschewing, according to the poll.

[jmyrlefuller]

That's Pew's range for defining the group. The problem is that the oldest would have almost been in high school before the internet was widely available, and it really doesn't fit the idea of Millennials being the tech savvy young generation.

The other is they make the Boomer generation, but GenX and Millennials just 15 years, a completely arbitrary designation.

In reality, Millennials should be from 1986 - 2005, which far more fits their life experiences that you think of for that generation.

Indeed. Those who graduated college before the late 2000s had drastically different outcomes in life compared to those who graduated during or after that.

[Formerly Once-Ler]

If they're women, then the GOP is only losing that 7/10 of a vote, right?