Back in the day, there were probably honorable Democrats like, say, Henry "Scoop" Jackson and others, now, they are just too left-wing in their total agenda, gun control and so on, very unpopular platform and still, they pulled off the Doug Jones victory in Alabama.
I'd look at things really getting close in Texas in 2024; as of now though, to me, Democratic victory seems remotely possible but not probable.
You have such economic booms; and one sees what happens.
6 most populated states, I just looked this up:
1. California
2. Texas
3. Florida
4. New York
5. Pennsylvania
6. Illinois
At least, 5 of these are big job creating states and with that comes some risks apparently on how the workers can end up voting, especially minority types often beholden to the DNC. In the long run, for the whole nation, it could turn out negative for conservatism.