Found an interesting paper today: "The Long-run Effects of Teacher Collective Bargaining"
Here's the abstract:
Teacher collective bargaining is a highly debated feature of the education system in the US. This
paper presents the first analysis of the effect of teacher collective bargaining laws on long-run
labor market and educational attainment outcomes, exploiting the different timing across states
in the passage of duty-to-bargain laws in a difference-in-difference framework. Using American
Community Survey data linked to each respondent’s state of birth, we examine labor market
outcomes and educational attainment for 35-49 year olds, separately by gender. We find robust
evidence that exposure to teacher collective bargaining laws worsens the future labor market
outcomes of men: living in a state that has a duty-to-bargain law for all 12 grade-school years
reduces male earnings by $1,493 (or 2.75%) per year and decreases hours worked by 0.52 hours
per week. Estimates for women do not show consistent evidence of negative effects on these
outcomes. The earnings estimates for men indicate that teacher collective bargaining reduces
earnings by $149.6 billion in the US annually. Among men, we also find evidence of lower
employment rates, which is driven by lower labor force participation. Exposure to collective
bargaining laws leads to reductions in the skill levels of the occupations into which male workers
sort as well. Effects are largest among black and Hispanic men, although white and Asian men
also experience sizable negative impacts of collective bargaining exposure. Using data from the
1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we demonstrate that collective bargaining law
exposure leads to reductions in measured cognitive and non-cognitive skills among young adults,
and these effects are larger for men.
(emphasis added)
Here's a link to the paper:
https://www.aeaweb.org/conference/2018/preliminary/paper/ShD4d8GY
