'Wave versus the map': Democratic control of Senate moves from preposterous to possible
The Washington Post
Paul Kane 4 hrs agoNot anymore. The debate has grown over Democrats' chances of capturing control of the agenda and holding power over Trump's nominations, including potential vacancies on the Supreme Court.
The dispute pits the practitioners of big data against those who also scout candidates and measure broader political atmosphere to make their bets.
Both sides agree Democrats face a narrow path to gain two seats needed to reclaim the majority — but there is a debate over just how narrow.
Even after Sen. Doug Jones (D) won his improbable Alabama special election last month, Democrats still face an imposing task: They are defending 26 seats of their own to just eight Republican seats up for grabs.
"Just how bad is this map for Democrats? It's bad enough that it may be the worst Senate map that any party has faced ever," Nate Silver, the founder of Five Thirty Eight, the data analytics blog covering sports and politics, wrote Wednesday.
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