Author Topic: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election  (Read 90225 times)

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Offline Sighlass

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #75 on: December 13, 2017, 02:41:39 am »
NYTimes saying most votes remaining come from Democratic areas...

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Offline TomSea

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #76 on: December 13, 2017, 02:42:45 am »
Karl Rover said on Fox earlier that if it wasn't Roy Moore but one of the other Republicans, this wouldn't be getting this kind of coverage and the other R would have this safely in the bag.

They showed some contest that Moore won back around 2011 or something, it was still close, 52% to 48% and I think that was against a Democrat.

Offline RetBobbyMI

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #77 on: December 13, 2017, 02:44:04 am »
NYTimes saying most votes remaining come from Democratic areas...


Appears they're using the northeast models that urban areas are predominate Blue bastions.  Not sure that is true in the south.
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Offline TomSea

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #78 on: December 13, 2017, 02:44:10 am »
54% of all Alabamans think abortion should be illegal, 40% say it should be.... so that's a major stat there, at the gym, they have all the satellite news channels running and so, I watched a bit of all of them.

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #79 on: December 13, 2017, 02:44:51 am »
65% precincts reporting:

Roy Moore    Republican    371,327    53.3%    
Doug Jones    Democrat    315,730    45.3    
Total Write-Ins    â€”    9,848    1.4    
The Republic is lost.

Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #80 on: December 13, 2017, 02:47:03 am »
I wonder if their model assumes the urban counties will continue to report the way of the early precincts.  It could be that mostly black precincts are reporting in Jefferson, Montgomery, Mobile, and margins will shrink.  That's the only path for Moore...

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #81 on: December 13, 2017, 02:48:50 am »
70% precincts reporting:

Roy Moore    Republican    401,467    51.8%    
Doug Jones    Democrat    363,307    46.8    
Total Write-Ins    â€”    10,968    1.4    
The Republic is lost.

Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #82 on: December 13, 2017, 02:50:43 am »
Karl Rover said on Fox earlier that if it wasn't Roy Moore but one of the other Republicans, this wouldn't be getting this kind of coverage and the other R would have this safely in the bag.

They showed some contest that Moore won back around 2011 or something, it was still close, 52% to 48% and I think that was against a Democrat.
That's what strikes me so odd about these sexual assault/pedophile claims. Those accusations could have sunk Moore's career then as much as now. He's always been polarizing, even in Alabama. Yet they never did. It screams of outside meddling, conjured by people outside Alabama who had a vested interest in Jones winning.

We'll find out if they get their wish in a few minutes. If they do, we'd better be scared.
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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #83 on: December 13, 2017, 02:53:22 am »
75% precincts reporting:

Roy Moore    Republican    432,489    50.5%    
Doug Jones    Democrat    411,449    48.1    
Total Write-Ins    â€”    11,629    1.4    

It's a race again.
The Republic is lost.

Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #84 on: December 13, 2017, 02:55:25 am »
Still waiting on a few Moore-leaning precincts in the northeastern part of the state. There are also still votes to be counted down around Mobile, which is about evenly split.


Curiously, Dallas County is the only county that hasn't had a single precinct report. It's expected to go for Jones, which might be a big factor in NYT's model.
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #85 on: December 13, 2017, 02:56:37 am »
Hard to believe Jefferson will continue to break 4:1 for Jones...

Offline massadvj

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #86 on: December 13, 2017, 02:57:17 am »
Fox News has it for Jones based on their projections, though they are not calling a winner yet.  The gap seems to be closing rather quickly.

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #87 on: December 13, 2017, 02:58:27 am »
Still waiting on a few Moore-leaning precincts in the northeastern part of the state. There are also still votes to be counted down around Mobile, which is about evenly split.


Curiously, Dallas County is the only county that hasn't had a single precinct report. It's expected to go for Jones, which might be a big factor in NYT's model.

I noticed that. Kinda bothers me, that's right out of the Dem playbook.
The Republic is lost.

Offline Victoria33

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #88 on: December 13, 2017, 02:59:59 am »
More populated counties take longer to report.

Offline TomSea

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #89 on: December 13, 2017, 03:00:13 am »
Larry Elder whose roots are in Alabama said Huntsville has some solid Republican areas but that doesn't mean it is a Roy Moore area. Hmm.

Offline DiogenesLamp

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #90 on: December 13, 2017, 03:00:40 am »
That's what strikes me so odd about these sexual assault/pedophile claims. Those accusations could have sunk Moore's career then as much as now. He's always been polarizing, even in Alabama. Yet they never did. It screams of outside meddling, conjured by people outside Alabama who had a vested interest in Jones winning.

We'll find out if they get their wish in a few minutes. If they do, we'd better be scared.


For about the last year,  I have been operating on the assumption that there is a corps of forces that want to keep the money spigot flowing in  Washington,   and among other assets,  they have the media.   

I've noted that others are calling them "cloud people"  while ordinary folk are given the name "dirt people",   and this social and financial elite,  roughly located between New York and Washington,  have been controlling the rest of the nation for a long time. 


Not much to get scared about.   From what I can discern,   this "establishment"  is just the way things have been.  Waking up to the fact doesn't make it any more of a problem than it already was.
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Offline TomSea

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #91 on: December 13, 2017, 03:02:44 am »
OAN predicting Moore?   http://www.oann.com/roy-moore-wins-alabama-senate-seat/  Be cautious I guess.... when someone reports such.


One American News Now.
« Last Edit: December 13, 2017, 03:03:10 am by TomSea »

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #92 on: December 13, 2017, 03:03:55 am »
81% precincts reporting:

Roy Moore    Republican    475,540    49.7%    
Doug Jones    Democrat    466,498    48.8    
Total Write-Ins    â€”    14,054    1.5    

Virtual tie now.
The Republic is lost.

Offline TomSea

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #93 on: December 13, 2017, 03:04:53 am »
WTH?

Quote
December 12, 2017

OAN Newsroom

 

Roy Moore wins the Alabama Senate election and will fill the seat left vacant by Attorney General Jeff Sessions.

Moore beat out Doug Jones, a democrat who President Trump has said is weak on crime and immigration.

Despite attacks from democrats about unverified allegations from nearly 40-years ago, Moore will keep the seat red and republicans will maintain a 52 to 48 majority in the Senate.

http://www.oann.com/roy-moore-wins-alabama-senate-seat/

I don't know about this. They'll look silly if they are wrong.

Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #94 on: December 13, 2017, 03:05:47 am »
Jones is going to win.  51-49 senate.

Offline Sighlass

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #95 on: December 13, 2017, 03:05:50 am »
OAN predicting Moore?   http://www.oann.com/roy-moore-wins-alabama-senate-seat/  Be cautious I guess.... when someone reports such.


One American News Now.

Just wow, talk about taking a huge risk. OANN just put their credibility on the line there and I don't see it was a wise move to do so.
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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #96 on: December 13, 2017, 03:06:07 am »
OAN predicting Moore?   http://www.oann.com/roy-moore-wins-alabama-senate-seat/  Be cautious I guess.... when someone reports such.


One American News Now.


What a bizarre article. It has me confused about why they would publish such a thing? Strange.
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Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #97 on: December 13, 2017, 03:07:01 am »
WTH?

I don't know about this. They'll look silly if they are wrong.
It could be a leaked draft.
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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #98 on: December 13, 2017, 03:07:09 am »
WTH?

I don't know about this. They'll look silly if they are wrong.

They already look silly....
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Re: Leftover Discussion Thread: AL Special Election
« Reply #99 on: December 13, 2017, 03:07:24 am »
85% precincts reporting:

Roy Moore    Republican    510,308    49.4%    
Doug Jones    Democrat    506,451    49.0    
Total Write-Ins    â€”    15,798    1.5    
The Republic is lost.