Way to early imho.
Ditto. We can't predict anything this early. One event on one morning, for example, changed President Bush's popularity from about 50% to 90%.
![](https://secure.surveymonkey.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/Bush.png)
One strong, correct leadership action at the right time could flip things.
On the other hand, one stupid move or childish tweet when leadership is needed most could crash it from even this record low.
We really haven't seen a true test of leadership, everyone is acting like they are still in campaign mode.