Many Red States Are Swing States For Trump

[corbe]

Many Red States Are Swing States For Trump

By David Thornton  |  October 24, 2016, 03:15pm  |  @captainkudzu


 
Back in the primary, there were bold predictions that a candidate like Donald Trump could redraw the electoral map. Trump’s mix of populism, protectionism and isolationism could turn Rust Belt states blue the argument ran. Nine months later, as Election Day rapidly approaches, it seems that the predictions of different electoral map were true, but not in the way Republicans expected.

New polling suggests that Trump is on the verge of losing several deep red states. Arizona, Georgia and even Texas have all been moved into the swing state category for the Trump-Clinton race. The Real Clear Politics average shows the race tightening in both Georgia and Texas. In both states, Trump holds a lead within the polling margin of error. In Arizona, the lead has shifted over the past two months. Trump has lost a slim lead and is now trailing Hillary Clinton by a five-point margin in the most recent Arizona Republic poll.

A common thread among these states is the high percentage of nonwhite voters. A Pew survey of the 2016 electorate shows that both Texas and Arizona have high numbers of Hispanic voters. Almost a third of Texas voters are Hispanic while, among Arizona voters, the percentage Hispanic voters is just over a fifth. Perhaps unsurprisingly, Trump’s anti-Mexico rhetoric and plans to build a wall along the Mexican border seem not to be popular with most Hispanic voters. A recent Wall Street Journal poll found Hispanic support for the Republican at 18 percent.

Georgia has fewer Hispanics, but the state is still ethnically diverse. The Atlanta Journal estimated last year that 40 percent of Georgia’s electorate would be minority voters. At about a third of voters, blacks make up Georgia’s largest minority. In August, a Public Policy poll found Trump’s support among blacks to be effectively at zero.

But what about Alaska, another deep red state with few minority voters? The one poll of Alaskans showed Trump with only a three-point lead over Hillary Clinton. The Moore AK poll found Trump leading with the support of only 37 percent of voters. There are not enough Hispanic or black voters in Alaska to blame Trump’s lack of support on race or ethnicity.

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More

http://theresurgent.com/many-red-states-are-swing-states-for-trump/

[Frank Cannon]

I am not so sure about him losing these states. In order for him to lose them, people who traditionally vote Right will have to vote Commie.

[Oceander]

I am not so sure about him losing these states. In order for him to lose them, people who traditionally vote Right will have to vote Commie.

Nope, they just have to not vote for Trump.

[jmyrlefuller]

Nope, they just have to not vote for Trump.

Perhaps, but it would take twice as many blank, third party or write-in votes to get Trump to lose as it would to vote for Clinton directly. (Except in Utah.)

[corbe]

   Or Like in Romney's case-Not Vote at all, I'm seeing more and more of that.   When Conservatives stay home, it matters. 

   There is only 1 or 2 contested races in Texas, It's solid RED except for the large cities and the Valley, Clinton is making inroads here due to the apathy on the repub side.

[Oceander]

Perhaps, but it would take twice as many blank, third party or write-in votes to get Trump to lose as it would to vote for Clinton directly. (Except in Utah.)

and ...

All it takes is for enough people to adhere to their principles and refuse to vote for a liberal blowhard.

[sinkspur]

Donald is completely focused on winning:


Nick RiccardiVerified account
‏@NickRiccardi
Less than 2 weeks from election day, Donald  Trump, behind in the polls, will travel to Washington, DC to cut the ribbon on his new hotel.

[corbe]

Donald is completely focused on winning:


Nick RiccardiVerified account
‏@NickRiccardi
Less than 2 weeks from election day, Donald  Trump, behind in the polls, will travel to Washington, DC to cut the ribbon on his new hotel.

   The press will be there to cover in case he asks  if anyone has Madonna's phone number.

[corbe]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u2NG1urklW0