Reuters Poll: High Confidence Of Trump Win In VERMONT

[SirLinksALot]

SOURCE: DAILY CALLER

http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/17/reuters-poll-high-confidence-of-trump-win-in-vermont/

by: Alex Pfeiffer


Reuters polling of the nation as of Thursday shows “high confidence” in a win by Republican nominee Donald Trump in heavily-Democratic Vermont.

The Reuters poll did not give a margin for Trump’s victory but instead said it has “high confidence” in a GOP win. According to their polling standards, “a state is reported as ‘high confidence’ for a candidate if they win 95 percent or more of the simulated elections.”

"For states where the sample is less than 100 respondents, but greater than or equal to 80, and the confidence of victory is moderate or high, then confidence is reported but, because of the expected wide variance in the percentage of voters preferring one candidate or the other, no state percentages are reported,” Reuters’ ‘explainer’ continued to say.

A poll from earlier in September showed Hillary Clinton with a 21 percent lead over Trump in Vermont, which has three electoral votes. A win in Vermont for Trump though would not be out of the picture.

In Rhode Island and Maine, two other heavily-Democratic New England states, the GOP nominee was within three of Clinton. Trump gains almost all of his support from white voters and Clinton is doing historically bad numbers with the voting bloc. Vermont is 96.7 percent white.

[Frank Cannon]

High Confidence Of Trump Win In VERMONT

And he should. Donny is peddling the same big govt' policies as The Bern.

[Wingnut]

High Confidence Of Trump Win In VERMONT

And he should. Donny is peddling the same big govt' policies as The Bern.

Back the boat up a second.  Vermont and Maine are like Lesbo central.  No way Trump takes them without promising them a free Golden Retriever and a Subaru to vote for him.

[TomSea]

Maine? That state where the controversial Governor LePage was elected?

[TomSea]

LePage has said outrageous things; but in the end, he is pissed-off with hard drugs coming from his state; so he says who he perceives is doing it (and in that he's probably somewhat correct), so he cares about the citizens.

The article points to Vermont's lack of demographic diversity as well. That could be a factor.

[Longmire]

The poll relies heavily on race to determine voter preferences, which makes Trump look stronger in Vermont than he probably is.

[sinkspur]

"For states where the sample is less than 100 respondents, but greater than or equal to 80, and the confidence of victory is moderate or high, then confidence is reported but, because of the expected wide variance in the percentage of voters preferring one candidate or the other, no state percentages are reported,” Reuters’ ‘explainer’ continued to say.

Read that twice, three times if you have to.

This "poll" has less than 100 respondents.  It's not a poll; it's a focus group.  Ipsos has major egg on its face for this stupid prediction.  Hillary will crush Trump in Vermont.  RCP average is 20 points in the lead for her.

[Gov Bean Counter]

SOURCE: DAILY CALLER

http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/17/reuters-poll-high-confidence-of-trump-win-in-vermont/

by: Alex Pfeiffer


Reuters polling of the nation as of Thursday shows “high confidence” in a win by Republican nominee Donald Trump in heavily-Democratic Vermont.

The Reuters poll did not give a margin for Trump’s victory but instead said it has “high confidence” in a GOP win. According to their polling standards, “a state is reported as ‘high confidence’ for a candidate if they win 95 percent or more of the simulated elections.”

"For states where the sample is less than 100 respondents, but greater than or equal to 80, and the confidence of victory is moderate or high, then confidence is reported but, because of the expected wide variance in the percentage of voters preferring one candidate or the other, no state percentages are reported,” Reuters’ ‘explainer’ continued to say.

A poll from earlier in September showed Hillary Clinton with a 21 percent lead over Trump in Vermont, which has three electoral votes. A win in Vermont for Trump though would not be out of the picture.

In Rhode Island and Maine, two other heavily-Democratic New England states, the GOP nominee was within three of Clinton. Trump gains almost all of his support from white voters and Clinton is doing historically bad numbers with the voting bloc. Vermont is 96.7 percent white.

More unicorns and skittles