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Offline mystery-ak

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Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« on: August 07, 2016, 02:27:58 pm »

Politics | Sat Aug 6, 2016 8:38am EDT

Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
NEW YORK | By Grant Smith


Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton's lead over Republican rival Donald Trump narrowed to less than 3 percentage points, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Friday, down from nearly eight points on Monday.

About 42 percent of likely voters favored Clinton, to Trump's 39 percent, according to the July 31-Aug. 4 online poll of 1,154 likely voters. The poll had a credibility interval of plus or minus 3 percentage points, meaning that the results suggest the race is roughly even.

Among registered voters over the same period, Clinton held a lead of five percentage points, down from eight percentage points on Monday, according to the poll.

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http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN10G2BQ
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2016, 02:43:38 pm »
A poll released just this morning:

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Poll finds Clinton has widened lead ahead of Trump to 8 points




https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-after-conventions-clinton-leads-trump-by-8-points/2016/08/06/517999c0-5b33-11e6-9aee-8075993d73a2_story.html
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Offline truth_seeker

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2016, 02:53:09 pm »

Wasn't Reuters the poll which changed methodology to favor Clinton, near the time of the dem convention?
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2016, 02:57:01 pm »
Quote from: truth_seeker on August 07, 2016, 02:53:09 pm
Wasn't Reuters the poll which changed methodology to favor Clinton, near the time of the dem convention?

Yes...right now the Polls are all over the place so who knows what the actual numbers are.
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2016, 03:01:28 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on August 07, 2016, 02:57:01 pm
Yes...right now the Polls are all over the place so who knows what the actual numbers are.

The polls have different numbers, but one thing 11 out of the last 12 polls show:  Clinton is leading Trump, sometimes by very wide margins.  Trends, at this point, are more important than the actual numbers.
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Offline TomSea

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2016, 03:26:53 pm »
As I said in the other thread, these candidates also have their own internal polling.
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2016, 03:37:15 pm »
Quote from: TomSea on August 07, 2016, 03:26:53 pm
As I said in the other thread, these candidates also have their own internal polling.

Trump has no personal pollster. 
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Offline Longmire

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #7 on: August 08, 2016, 12:09:17 am »
Experienced pollster Tony Fabrizio has been working for Trump since May.
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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #8 on: August 08, 2016, 12:10:44 am »
Quote from: Longmire on August 08, 2016, 12:09:17 am
Experienced pollster Tony Fabrizio has been working for Trump since May.

He's not doing a very good job of telling the Emperor he's got no clothes on.
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Offline sinkspur

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Re: Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
« Reply #9 on: August 08, 2016, 12:22:52 am »
Quote from: Longmire on August 08, 2016, 12:09:17 am
Experienced pollster Tony Fabrizio has been working for Trump since May.

You are exactly right. Had no idea.  Guess he got rid of John McLaughlin.

So, when does he start?  He doesn't seem very engaged.
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