Donald Trump’s path to victory

[mystery-ak]

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/donald-trump-path-to-victory-224239



2016
Donald Trump’s path to victory

He needs to best Romney with white men and turn a few reliably blue Rust Belt states red.

By Eli Stokols

06/19/16 07:35 AM EDT

Donald Trump has vowed to remake the electoral map by winning states that have been reliably blue in recent cycles — but the GOP’s best pollsters say his bluster is a long way from aligning with reality.

Trump, who has been slow to campaign in swing states while raising money in stumping in red states like Texas last week, should be able to count on winning Republican strongholds — states such as Arizona (11 Electoral College votes) and Georgia (16), where he campaigned last Wednesday, despite some optimism from Democrats that those increasingly diverse states could be put in play. In total, the party’s electoral math gurus say the presumptive GOP nominee likely starts the general election with a hold on 19 states, which give him a total of 164 Electoral College votes.

To reach 270, Trump’s team is aiming to capture America’s Rust Belt — specifically, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin — where polls generally show him performing better than Mitt Romney did at this point in 2012. If he can capture Florida and keep North Carolina — the 2012 red state of the lightest hue — a strong showing that includes capture of the Rust Belt could, Trump’s team believes, put him over the top.

But the odds are long, veteran strategists said.

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[Gov Bean Counter]

...is summed up in one song.

"Follow the Yellow Brick Road"

[HonestJohn]

He's not going to win Florida (Democrat gains in Orlando and Miami *WILL* negate any boost Trump gets in Florida's Klan heartland in the panhandle) or North Carolina.

I doubt that Ohioans will be happy with his talk about Kasich.

There aren't enough voters in Pennsylvania to offset Philly and Pittsburgh.

I can't see Michigan, with it's Flint water crisis, as being anything but a disaster for the GOP.

Wisconsin... I don't know.

[cato potatoe]

No to Wisconsin.  The pubs don't even like him there, plus he is dragging down Ron Johnson.

Trump has no chance at winning any purple state.  His "campaign" is broke, and Hillary will have a billion dollars. 

[kjam22]

...is summed up in one song.

"Follow the Yellow Brick Road"

Yep... he'll have to click his heels three times saying "there's no place like Brooklyn, there's no place like Brooklyn."   And then the dream (nightmare) will be over....