I have friends who are in Ukraine, NOW
OSCE has finally come clean and stated that they've recorded hundreds of russian tanks, artillery and nearly 40,000 (yes, forty THOUSAND) russian troops coming into Lugansk/Donetsk.
1) I think they will push through Mariupol and make their land bridge to Crimea.
2) Not be satisfied with that, they will likely push towards Odessa.
3) If Odessa goes, then Kharkov will collapse within hours.
You heard it here first.