http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/insiders-trump-will-sweep-all-but-ohio-220739 Insiders: Trump will sweep all but Ohio
POLITICO Caucus members think Illinois and Missouri are primed for Bernie Sanders upsets.
By Steven Shepard
03/15/16 05:15 AM EDT
Donald Trump's momentum is unlikely to be derailed in the big-state Republican presidential primaries on Tuesday – except in Ohio, where home-state Gov. John Kasich is favored to win.
And in Florida, insiders in both parties see Tuesday as the likely denouement of Sen. Marco Rubio's presidential campaign.
That’s according to The POLITICO Caucus — a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in three of the five states headed to the polls on Tuesday: Ohio, North Carolina and Florida.
On the Democratic side, insiders give Hillary Clinton the edge in all five states voting on Tuesday — but they caution that Bernie Sanders is a very close second in a handful of states.
The Republican insiders’ predictions for Tuesday mostly mirror the public polling: Trump is a heavy favorite in winner-take-all Florida, while nearly all insiders picked Kasich to pocket all of Ohio’s 66 delegates.
In the other three states, Trump was favored by nine-in-10 insiders in North Carolina, eight-in-10 in Illinois and seven-in-10 in Missouri, where some insiders picked Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to upset Trump.
But in the race for Florida’s 99 delegates, Trump is the odds-on favorite: 90 percent of all Republican insiders across the three states — and all but one of the 33 Florida insiders (from both parties) who completed the survey — picked Trump to carry the state. A number of Republicans in Florida even suggested Cruz, not Rubio, could finish second to Trump.
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