Insiders: Trump will take Nevada

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http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/insiders-trump-is-a-good-fit-for-nevada-219639

Donald Trump is the favorite to win Tuesday’s Nevada GOP caucuses, an outcome that would give him victories in three of the four early-voting states.

According to The POLITICO Caucus – a collection of strategists, operatives and activists on the ground in Nevada – Trump is poised to defeat Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio on Tuesday night, despite relatively little attention on the caucuses compared to the three previous states.

Roughly three-quarters of Nevada insiders from both parties predicted Trump will emerge on top, with Cruz and Rubio – who finished behind Trump last Saturday in South Carolina – splitting the remaining vote.

Insiders said Trump’s bluster and flamboyance line up well with the Nevada ethos.

“Nevada has always been perfect for Trump,” said one Republican there. “He is a flashy billionaire with ties to gaming. That might have slowed him down in Iowa, but in

[aligncare]

No big secret. Donald Trump is up by +25 over his nearest competitor in Nevada.

[flowers]

Nevada caucus results: Trump poised for big night

http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/23/politics/nevada-republican-caucus-results/index.html

Elko, Nevada (CNN)This state that has long embraced its reputation as the Wild West of politics is expected to embrace anti-establishment candidate Donald Trump in a blowout in the Nevada Republican caucuses on Tuesday night.

America's voting system is crazy -- here's what you need to know

In a state where only 33,000 of the state's 400,000 GOP voters turned out to caucus in 2012 -- a mere 7% -- the campaigns of Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and one-time candidate Jeb Bush got organized early, snapping up talented operatives and key endorsements, while beginning caucus trainings last fall in the hopes that a strong organization could overcome Trump's momentum.

But Trump appears to have steamrolled through all of that, dominating not just Nevada's unreliable polls, but capturing the excitement and buzz in the race with his visits here.

In interviews with dozens of Republican voters across the state over the last week, many said without hesitation that they were standing firmly with Trump and had given little thought to the other Republican candidates.

That has meant a pitched battle for second place here between Cruz and Rubio, who both made a final push in Reno and Nevada's rural areas on Monday. In a sign of his campaign's confidence in a strong showing, Trump held just one rally in populous Clark County, dispatching his eldest son to campaign for him in Elko -- the biggest town in rural northeast Nevada.

The more traditional campaigns of Cruz and Rubio, said longtime Nevada political analyst Jon Ralston, "are very frustrated by what everyone's frustrated by: you can't talk any sense into the Trump voters; they can't turn them."

READ: What to watch on big night in politics

"When you're hoping that those voters don't turn out, you know that your campaign is playing for second place," Ralston said.

[Fishrrman]

Trump looks set to win with about 42-45%.

Edging towards an absolute majority...