Pre-Iowa poll: Trump leads Cruz by 24 in NH

[HAPPY2BME]

February 02, 2016, 11:33 am

Donald Trump has double the support of Ted Cruz among New Hampshire Republicans, according to a new poll conducted before Cruz's surprise victory in Monday's Iowa caucuses, the nation's first presidential primary contest.

Trump leads Cruz by 24 points in the Granite State, per the University of Massachusetts-Lowell/7 News survey released Tuesday, with a 38 to 14 split.

Marco Rubio ranks third, with 10 percent. No other candidate scores double-digit polling numbers in Tuesday’s results.

John Kasich and Jeb Bush tie for fourth, with 9 percent each. Chris Christie rounds out the top five with 5 percent voter support of his own.

Respondents though were surveyed before Cruz overtook Trump to win the Iowa caucuses on Monday. Polls before the first-in-the-nation caucuses had shown Trump to be the favorite. Cruz credited his results as a “victory for the grass roots."

The candidates are now headed to New Hampshire, which holds its primary on Feb. 9.

The New Hampshire poll shows the state's Republican-leaning voters dedicated to their first choice candidate.

About 69 percent said they are “definitely” voting for Trump, with 58 percent stating the same for Cruz and 57 percent for Rubio. Roughly 31 percent “could change their mind” about Trump, meanwhile, with 42 percent saying the same about Cruz and 43 percent for Rubio.

Trump is particularly resonating with voters skeptical of government.

About 44 percent who “never” trust the government back the billionaire, paired with 37 percent who said they trust government “only sometimes” and 26 percent who said “always or most of the time."

Cruz, meanwhile, receives 18 percent from Americans who “never” put their faith in government, versus 13 percent who responded “only sometimes” and 9 percent who said “always or most of the time.”

UMass-Lowell/7 News conducted its latest sampling of 470 Republican-leaning voters in New Hampshire via cellphone and landline telephone interviews from Jan. 30 to Feb. 1. It has a 5 percent margin of error.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/267870-pre-iowa-poll-trump-leads-cruz-by-24-in-nh

[NavyCanDo]

No surprise there at all. Trump has been a heavy favorite in NH, which is far more socially liberal than Iowa, , which may say a little something why. If he, wins NH, and I think he will, he better enjoy it because it may be his only win through the end of March.

[Frank Cannon]

according to a new poll conducted before Cruz's surprise victory in Monday's Iowa caucuses

So basically The Hill is peddling worthless garbage just to fill pages on their website.

[Bigun]

So if Cruz finishes only 15 points behind Trump in N.H. he wins!

YEA!

[aligncare]

So if Cruz finishes only 15 points behind Trump in N.H. he wins!

YEA!

So, in your world Ted Cruz is the winner in Iowa because he edged Trump by 3.3 points (Cruz–27.6%, Trump–24.3%); PLUS he's the winner in New Hampshire by losing to Donald Trump by 15 instead of 24 points?

Is this like common core?

[Jazzhead]

So, in your world Ted Cruz is the winner in Iowa because he edged Trump by 3.3 points (Cruz–27.6%, Trump–24.3%); PLUS he's the winner in New Hampshire by losing to Donald Trump by 15 instead of 24 points?

Is this like common core?

Remember this is a dynamic process.  "Winning" is arguably a function of exceeding expectations.   Cruz is not supposed to find purchase in a New England state,  so by finishing second he can claim a victory.  At this stage, the reward of victory is momentum going into the next contest.  Cruz doesn't need New Hampshire.  But he sure as heck needs South Carolina.   

[aligncare]

Remember this is a dynamic process.  "Winning" is arguably a function of exceeding expectations.   Cruz is not supposed to find purchase in a New England state,  so by finishing second he can claim a victory.  At this stage, the reward of victory is momentum going into the next contest.  Cruz doesn't need New Hampshire.  But he sure as heck needs South Carolina.   

So what?  Trump, thrice married, foul-mouthed, yet outperformed expectations in conservative evangelical Iowa. Not exactly a Trump stronghold.

But, if you asked Bigun he'd tell you Trump was the night's big loser in Iowa.

With this crowd Trump can't win for losing. 

[Bigun]

So, in your world Ted Cruz is the winner in Iowa because he edged Trump by 3.3 points (Cruz–27.6%, Trump–24.3%); PLUS he's the winner in New Hampshire by losing to Donald Trump by 15 instead of 24 points?

Is this like common core?

Actually I was making light of all this Marco Rubio is the big winner in Iowa BS.  But upon more reflection ALL the polls  had Trump running away with this very recently and it's the same in N. H. so if Ted gets closer than he's  supposed to the it will be a victory of sorts.