https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/31/will-jeb-bush-win-the-republican-nomination/By Aaron Blake January 31 at 2:00 PM
Where does he stand in the polls?
The former Florida governor began the race as the odds-on Republican front-runner, and the early polling backed that up. He led most every national poll conducted in late 2014 and traded leads with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, among others, early in 2015.
Then, the race actually began. Bush launched his campaign in mid-June, and by mid-July began a steady decline. While he topped out at around 17 percent, most national polls now have him stuck in the back of the pack, around 5 percent.
The picture is about the same in Iowa. In New Hampshire, he does slightly better, coming in around 10 percent with a bunch of other candidates essentially tied for second place. That still leaves Bush in a jumbled race of non-Trumps, but it does appear to be his best hope for a state to win.
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