Jeb, Hillary share space in polling toilet
Dynasty candidates in free fall
Published: 9 hours ago
The so-called inevitable candidates are not looking so inevitable at the moment.
A new Pew Research Center poll has Republican presidential candidate Jeb Bush at 4 percent among primary voters. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s performance with Democrats sits at 38 percent in a recent Fox News poll.
“When Republican and Republican-leaning voters are asked in an open-ended format (no names provided) for their first choice for the nomination, none of the 15 GOP candidates are named by more than 25 percent of those who may vote in the primary: 25 percent name Donald Trump, 16 percent name Ben Carson, both Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina are named by 8 percent, 6 percent name Ted Cruz and 4 percent choose Jeb Bush,” Pew reported Friday.
Registered voters told the organization they crave a candidate with “new ideas and a different approach,” which may partially explain why so many of them are giving Bush the cold shoulder — while gravitating to Trump and retired neurosurgeon Carson — at the moment.
The number of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters who place more importance on new ideas than “experience and a proven record” sits at 65 percent to 29 percent. That stance has held steady since March.
Hillary Clinton, who Bush attacked as a front-runner when he announced his campaign June 15, is in a slower decline in a Fox News poll taken Sept. 20-22.
Only 38 percent of registered voters told Fox’s Shaw & Company Research pollsters they had a favorable opinion of Clinton. She enjoyed a 56 percent favorable rating in late June.
Clinton’s fall is unmatched among all other presidential candidates over a similar period of time. Even billionaire Trump, who was called on to end his campaign after comments on illegal immigration and Arizona Sen. John McCain, has maintained a steady favorable rating.
Trump’s 34 percent rating from late September essentially matches his 33 percent rating in April.
Gallup has contributed Clinton’s sagging numbers to her decision to use a personal email server while secretary of state.
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“Dogged by continued scrutiny of her email practices as secretary of state, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s favorability with the American public has sunk to one of its lowest levels in Gallup’s 23-year trend. Currently, 41% of U.S. adults say they have a favorable opinion of the Democratic front-runner, while 51% hold an unfavorable view,” Gallup reported Sept. 4.
Veteran campaign strategist Robert Shrum summed up Democrats’ fears about Clinton’s recent polling to the New York Times Sept. 9.
“You have Democrats beginning to panic about the one thing that a lot of them never worried about, which was Clinton’s electability in the general election,” said Shrum. “You still have to think of her as the odds-on favorite for the Democratic nomination. But the challenge she faces in the general election is both the trust problem and the likability problem.”
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