New National Poll: Trump Dominating GOP Field, But is Weakest in General Election

[bkepley]

Guy Benson
Townhall
...
Over on the Republican side, there is a very clear frontrunner.  He's the one who's been sucking up the overwhelming majority of media coverage for weeks on end. How clear is his frontrunner status? Yowza:

New nat'l Q-poll: In GOP primary, Trump support exceeds Cruz+Walker+Jeb+Rubio *combined.* Fares worst vs Dems: http://t.co/jfg5RXVNHt
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) August 27, 2015
 
 The Donald sits at 28 percent support, with Ben Carson next at 12 percent. The four candidates mentioned in the tweet above manage 27 percent support, total. If CNN were to use this poll to select its top ten for the network's upcoming Republican debate, Rand Paul (2 percent) would be on the outside looking in, with Carly Fiorina (5 percent) taking his spot. The Fiorina campaign has been fiercely critical of the CNN/RNC polling formula, which they argue -- credibly, in my view -- leans far too heavily on surveys taken prior to the August debate in Cleveland. Fiorina won rave reviews for her performance in the "undercard" forum and has since vaulted into the middle of the top tier -- yet old polls may again keep her off the main stage.  While Trump leads the GOP pack, he's also at the top of Republicans' "no way" list.  The bigger problem he faces, though, is his lack of viability in a general election setting.  He polls worst against Democrats compared to his GOP rivals; even with universal name recognition (for which most politicians would kill), his "fundamentals" are fatally weak among the overall electorate.  Everyone knows and has an opinion about Donald Trump, and this is what they think (this is data, not my opinion):

Trump's favorables worse than Hillary's. Honesty score almost as bad. GOP primary =/= general electorate: http://t.co/jfg5RXVNHt
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) August 27, 2015

Top 3 words associated with Trump: Arrogant, blowhard, idiot. http://t.co/jfg5RXVNHt #Qpoll
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) August 27, 2015

Finally, Trump seen unfavorably by 58% of women, 63% of Hispanics: http://t.co/jfg5RXVNHt #Qpoll
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) August 27, 2015

 Women comprise a majority of the American electorate, with Hispanics representing the largest minority group.  Trump and his fans understandably love to tout surveys showing him leading the GOP primary, but they ignore or dismiss his dead-last performance on telltale measures like personal favorability and temperament among all voters, not just Republican ones. Trump loses to all three Democrats in the survey, including Bernie Sanders -- trailing by the largest margins of those Republicans polled. While Trump is at (-18) on favorability and Hillary is at (-12), Jeb Bush remains underwater at (-9). The word most associated with his candidacy is "Bush," underscoring his greatest vulnerability. The Republicans who fare best on favorability are Carson (+20), Rubio (+14), Kasich (+13) and Fiorina (+12). Of that group, Rubio is far and away the best known, with majorities of voters saying they've never heard of the others.  Candidates like Cruz and Walker sit in the middle of the pack.

More here: http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2015/08/27/national-qpoll-trump-dominates-gop-field-weakest-in-general-election-n2044531

[truth_seeker]

One mistake: I believe blacks are still the largest minority group, but with Hispanics and Asians rising fast.

http://www.ropercenter.uconn.edu/polls/us-elections/how-groups-voted/how-groups-voted-2012/

In 2012 blacks were 13% of the total, while Hispanics were 10% of the total, Asians 3%.

Aside from that error, the article makes an important point. How does Trump convert those voters, who now find him in poor light?

He could always disrespect women, blacks, Hispanics, Asians, etc. Oh wait, he has already done most of that.

[Formerly Once-Ler]

He could always disrespect women, blacks, Hispanics, Asians, etc. Oh wait, he has already done most of that.

“I cherish women, and I say it all the time. I will take care of women. Women under my administration will be taken care of, not like Jeb Bush; what he said was a disgrace.” - Trump

I think that is probably good enough for most women.  I mean...
#1. He cherishes women
#2. He says it all the time.
#3. He will take care of women

and I don't even want to get into what Jeb said, but it was a disgrace.

so he's got the women vote sown up.  He's gonna deport the Latinos, so their votes don't count and the blacks will vote for VP Oprah.  He's got all the bases covered.

A guy like Trump will tell you, all the time, that he is really smart. 

[aligncare]

It's widely known that women hold significant positions in the Trump organization. But detractors will attack using everything in the PC play book. Trump disrespects women, he's sexist, oh, and secretly he shaves his legs.

[Longiron]

It's widely known that women hold significant positions in the Trump organization. But detractors will attack using everything in the PC play book. Trump disrespects women, he's sexist, oh, and secretly he shaves his legs.

Wait until he plays his Trump card. His wife! Heard or read Trump is going to do some adv that highlite the women that he employs. That will get the Libs head to blow up, again.