http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/236747-sen-coats-wont-run-for-reelectionMarch 24, 2015, 11:52 am
Coats retirement in Indiana shakes up 2016 battle for Senate
By Cameron Joseph
Sen. Dan Coats (R-Ind.) on Tuesday announced that he will not run for reelection in 2016.
"Today I am announcing that I will not seek re-election to the United States Senate," Coats said in a statement. "This was not an easy decision. While I believe I am well-positioned to run a successful campaign for another six-year term, I have concluded that the time has come to pass this demanding job to the next generation of leaders."
Coats's decision to retire may set off a Republican scramble for the open seat. While the GOP would seem to have the early edge, it is now another state they must defend in a presidential year where they're almost entirely playing defense to protect their new Senate majority.
Potential Republican candidates include Reps. Todd Young and Susan Brooks, both of whom have long been viewed as having statewide ambitions, as well as Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard and Reps. Todd Rokita, Jackie Walorski and Marlin Stutzman.
An aide to Rep. Luke Messer told The Hill he wouldn't seek the Senate seat.
Coats's chief of staff, Eric Holcomb, is also viewed as a likely candidate by Indiana observers. Holcomb, who is also close to kingmaker and former Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), has been traveling the state extensively building connections with the GOP grassroots.
"I'd put a wager on it," said Indiana politics expert Brian Howey. "He's been lining up support."
The seat will be an uphill battle for Democrats. But as President Obama's narrow win in the state in 2008 and Sen. Joe Donnelly's (D-Ind.) 2012 upset wins attest, Democrats can sometimes compete in the conservative state under the right circumstances.
Their best recruit would likely be former Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.), who chose to retire rather than facing a tough race in 2010 and still has close to $10 million in the bank for a potential return to politics. Bayh has ruled out a run for governor but hasn't closed the door on a Senate run.
If Bayh doesn't run, former Rep. Baron Hill (D-Ind.) and Hammond Mayor Tom McDermott (D) are potential candidates on the Democratic side.
National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Roger Wicker (Miss.) promised the party will hold the seat next year, touting the state's "strong bench" of Republicans.
“Senator Dan Coats has been a dedicated advocate for Indiana families throughout his time in the United States Senate and I know his devotion to the state he loves so dearly won’t end when he’s out of office," he said in a statement. "Senate Republicans have been blessed to work with such a great colleague over the years and we will miss him dearly. We have a strong Republican bench in Indiana and I am confident we will have another capable Republican joining us in the Senate in 2016 to continue Dan’s great work.”
Coats, 71, has long been thought to be eyeing the exits.
The senator, who'd served in Congress from the 1980s until 2000 and made a comeback to win Bayh's seat in 2010, had been rumored to be tired of Senate gridlock.
Coats's retirement will open up the chairmanship of the Joint Economic Committee as well as spots on the Senate Finance and Intelligence Committees.
