http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2015/02/does_isis_risk_blowback_or_is_there_a_plan.htmlFebruary 4, 2015
Does ISIS risk blowback, or is there a plan?
By Thomas Lifson
The airwaves are full of talking heads telling us that ISIS has made a mistake in posting the horrific video of the burning alive of Jordanian pilot Muath Al-Kassasbeh. The theory is that this may be a turning point, mobilizing not just Jordanian, but Arab public opinion, and forcing President Obama to finally decide to do what it takes to not just contain but conquer ISIS.
Maybe. I hope so. But it is worth considering what kind of strategy ISIS had in mind. After all, they have shown more propaganda sophistication than any other jihad group, and so far seem to be attracting adherents from all over the ummah rapidly, following the “strong horse” strategy first articulated by Osama bin Laden.
One possibility, raised by Charles Krauthammer yesterday on FNC’s Special Report, is that they intend to goad King Abdullah of Jordan into committing troops to fighting ISIS, and then provoking his overthrow. After all, the Hashemite Kingdom is not a democracy, but rather a monarchy of a Bedouin tribe from Arabia, imposed on the hapless Arabs by the British, who awarded Amman to the Hashemites as a consolation prize when the Saud family was awarded the monarchy of Arabia. The Hashemites are not even from Jordan. (Needless to say, this is not unusual: the British Royal Family are from Hanover, Germany, after all.) The majority of the population of Jordan is Palestinian, with a large number of recently-arrived Syrians. It is not at all hard to imagine an attempt to overthrow the monarchy while the King’s best troops, all of them Bedouins, are tied down fighting ISIS in Syria.
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