Author Topic: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?  (Read 2579 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« on: November 05, 2012, 07:23:23 PM »




Friend,

Without twelve toss up states (MN, NV, CO, IA, WI, MI, OH, PA, NH, VA, NC, AND FL), Mitt Romney and Barack Obama are tied at 191 each. I predict Mr. Romney will win FL (29), NC (15), VA (13), NH (4), OH (18), IA (6), CO (9) and Mr. Obama will get MN (10), NV (6), WI (10), MI (16), PA (20).

This brings Mr. Romney to 285 Electoral College votes and Mr. Obama to 253. These are just my base predictions and I still think several of these states are too close to call. For example, while I put them in Mr. Obama's column, I still believe NV, WI, and PA are in play and very winnable for Mr. Romney. If crowds at his recent stops in these states are any indication of his supporters' enthusiasm, Mr. Romney will likely be able to claim victory in these states as well.

Map and trendline can be found here: http://www.rove.com/election

All the best,



Karl

 

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Offline Oceander

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 07:24:44 PM »
A not unreasonable forecast.  We'll know for sure in about 24 hours or so.

Offline Allegra

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 07:26:43 PM »
285 is over what we need.  I like it - it's got a beat and you can dance to it.   :beer:
Don not wait to. There was not the shadow of the wall and another shade of eye gaze, we don not go Nvragr not find the light went shadow Nnvr.

Offline A.Hun

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 07:32:27 PM »
A not unreasonable forecast.  We'll know for sure in about 24 hours or so.

Agreed, but I believe Romney will definitely get WI and probably get PA for a total of 315.

I can't wait for this to be over...."shoot up here amongst us, one of us has got to have some relief!"

Offline tuwood

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 07:32:33 PM »
I'd feel a little more comfortable with 538 EV, but I'll take 285.  :)

Offline Oceander

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 07:33:08 PM »
I'd feel a little more comfortable with 538 EV, but I'll take 285.  :)

Definitely!

« Last Edit: November 05, 2012, 08:12:32 PM by Oceander »

Offline FightForFreedomCA

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2012, 07:47:28 PM »
The only two that worry me are OH and NH. If we get OH, we don't really need NH, but OH is such a wildcard.
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Offline Lipstick on a Hillary

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2012, 07:55:07 PM »
I can see Romney getting WI and OH, but not PA or NH.  Hope I'm wrong tho.  Every person I "know" from Ohio says that state is brimming over with Romney enthusiasm.  Witness the difference in crowd sizes over the weekend!

Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 08:07:17 PM »
This map looks almost exactly like 2004...?

Offline tuwood

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 08:25:08 PM »
I feel pretty good about OH and IA.  Combined with VA, that gives us 270.
I certainly want a blowout because that increases the odds for our senate candidates, but getting Obama out of there is by far the most important thing.

Offline Lipstick on a Hillary

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 08:32:12 PM »
I would love to see enough of a mandate to yank Harry Reid's chain.  He is licking his chops to block attempts at repealing Obamacare.   For once, I'd like to see that phlegmmy douchebag get what's coming to him.

Offline Oceander

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2012, 08:36:29 PM »

Offline Queen

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Re: Karl Rove's Final Prediction?
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2012, 08:44:36 PM »


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