Author Topic: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia  (Read 2247 times)

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Offline R4 TrumPence

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Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« on: November 04, 2012, 09:40:45 PM »
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/11/obama-leads-in-ohio-and-virginia.html

November 04, 2012

Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia

PPP's final polls in Ohio and Virginia find Barack Obama ahead in both states, 52/47 in Ohio and 51/47 in Virginia. PPP has conducted four polls in each of these states over the last three weeks and has found an average lead of 3.75 points for Obama in Ohio and an average advantage of 3.5 points for him in Virginia.

In Ohio Obama's already built up a large lead during the early voting period. He's up 60/39 with those who already cast their ballots. Romney's ahead 51/48 with people who plan to vote on election day but he's going to need a much wider margin than that to take the state.

Obama's winning thanks to leads of 54/44 with women, 86/11 with African Americans, and 61/33 with voters under 30. And although he trails Romney with independents (49/47) and white voters (51/47), he's holding Romney to margins well below what he would need to win those groups.

It's a similar story in Virginia. Obama's up 56/43 with women and 92/8 with African Americans and he's holding Romney to a 58/40 advantage with whites, which is below what we've generally been finding for him nationally recently. When you combine Obama's relative strength among white voters with Virginia being one of the more racially diverse states in the country it's the formula for a lead.

Democrats are also well positioned to win the US Senate races in each of these states. Tim Kaine leads George Allen 52/46 in Virginia's open seat race and Sherrod Brown's up 54/44 for reelection against Josh Mandel. It's a similar story in both states. Voters like the Democratic candidates- Brown has a 48/43 approval rating and Kaine has a 50/40 favorability rating. And they don't much care for the Republican contenders- Mandel's favorability is 36/50 and Allen's is 42/48.

There is one piece of good news for Republicans in these polls- Ohio's proposed independent redistricting commission is headed for defeat with 39% of voters planning to support it compared to 49% who are opposed.

Full results here




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Offline Oceander

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2012, 09:41:30 PM »
Dream on

Offline Scottftlc

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2012, 09:43:58 PM »
Complete B.S.
Well, George Lewis told the Englishman, the Italian and the Jew
You can't open your mind, boys, to every conceivable point of view

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Offline R4 TrumPence

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2012, 09:44:08 PM »
Ohio  52/47  Obama

Q13 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.

Democrat
 43%
........................................................
Republican 35%
......................................................
 22%
Independent/Other....


VA 51/47  Obama

Q11 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.

Democrat
 38%
........................................................
Republican 33%
......................................................
 29%


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Offline R4 TrumPence

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2012, 09:46:06 PM »
Look at the internals. They all look way off......AA 19% voting?they usually have them lower, I think?


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Offline Atomic Cow

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2012, 10:45:20 PM »
I think all of these polls are being put out to serve three purposes.

-Skew the RCP average to make it look like Obama is surging

-Depress Republican turnout

-Set the stage for the cries of voter fraud and lawsuits if Obama loses

If we're going to have Democrat turnout of 40%-45% that some of these polls suggest, then this country is already lost and the election is a formality.
"...And these atomic bombs which science burst upon the world that night were strange, even to the men who used them."  H. G. Wells, The World Set Free, 1914

"The one pervading evil of democracy is the tyranny of the majority, or rather of that party, not always the majority, that succeeds, by force or fraud, in carrying elections." -Lord Acton

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2012, 10:59:34 PM »
People walked out of Obama rally in VA yesterday and we were supposed to believe he is leading???   :silly: :silly: :silly: :silly:

Offline Batman

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2012, 12:09:10 AM »
You would think that the media would have figured out by now Romney supporters are a very motivated majority and skewed polls will do nothing to distract us. We are commited to taking our country back and all these bogus polls will do is make the polling firms that put them out look like idiots on Tuesday night. Hopefully, the only thing left to be decided after Tuesday will be whether it is a Ryder, Mayflower, or Uhaul truck that backs up to the White House to haul the Obamas crap back to Chicago!

Hopefully, they don't rip off as much stuff as the Clintons did in 2000!

Offline Oceander

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 12:14:47 AM »
You would think that the media would have figured out by now Romney supporters are a very motivated majority and skewed polls will do nothing to distract us. We are commited to taking our country back and all these bogus polls will do is make the polling firms that put them out look like idiots on Tuesday night. Hopefully, the only thing left to be decided after Tuesday will be whether it is a Ryder, Mayflower, or Uhaul truck that backs up to the White House to haul the Obamas crap back to Chicago!

Hopefully, they don't rip off as much stuff as the Clintons did in 2000!

I've been thinking the same thing about taking stuff.  If I recall, they were so petty and destructive, they even pulled the keys off of computer keyboards.

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 12:15:25 AM »


Hopefully, they don't rip off as much stuff as the Clintons did in 2000!

I was just wishing on Wednesday armed guards could enter the WH and Justice and State and secure all the documents related to Benghazi and Fast and Furious

Online jmyrlefuller

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 06:25:46 AM »
PPP: The Democrats' favorite pollster.

Offline Batman

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Re: Obama leads in Ohio and Virginia
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2012, 11:35:11 AM »
PPP: Piss Poor Polling


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