Here is Nate's numbers for each swing state in a little cheat sheet
I have a column for the states Nate lists as Likely and column that shows each of Nate's projection percentages.
And on the lower grid I show the base Electoral Votes and then have one column with Nate's totals for his "Likely" wins and one for the states where the projection is greater than 80%.
Notice Romney only has one swing state where he is > 50%, Florida, and only a 55% chance.
So if you only count the states for Obama that Nate projects as greater than 80%, we still have 277 EVs. And that does not even count Virginia at 67%, New Hampshire at 80% or Colorado at 68%.
I also added the Poll Closing time (Central Time) for each swing state.
Just something to look at. Not sure it will come in handy but I will use it election night because I am a nerd!
I will update this and post it nightly!
Nate's latest prediction! I JUST HAD TO POST THIS...LMAO!