Author Topic: Some see GOP voting tsunami coming  (Read 2122 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
« on: October 30, 2012, 06:21:39 PM »

Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
October 30, 2012 | 4:52 pm

Democrats more than Republicans are getting their most loyal supporters to vote early, but with polls showing a close race among those who have voted so far, concerns are being raised about a GOP tsunami on the actual Election Day, next Tuesday.

According to a GOP analysis of early voting and absentee ballot requests provided to Secrets, the Democrats are turning out their most reliable, or so-called "high propensity voters" than Republicans, leaving fewer for Election Day. The GOP is pushing weaker supporters to vote early, expecting high enthusiasm to drive their regular supporters to the polls next week.

"Democrats are cannibalizing their high-propensity voters in advance of election day to get stories that they are winning," said a GOP analyst. "But in effect they are stealing from Peter, or Election Day, to pay Paul, or early voting."

For example, in Ohio, the Democrats have turned out 43 percent of the most loyal supporters to vote, compared to just 27 percent of the GOP. In Iowa, the difference is 43 percent to 29 percent.

"Republicans will have more reliable voters available on Election Day and are spending our efforts turning out low propensity voters in the absentee and early voting periods," added the analysis.

Even with the difference in turnout of loyal supporters, Gallup finds that among early voters, Romney is beating Obama 52 percent to 45 percent, though some state totals show an Obama advantage. Plus in states like North Carolina, Colorado and Iowa, the GOP has seen huge requests for last-minute absentee ballots this month.

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Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 06:22:33 PM »

Offline Oceander

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Re: Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2012, 09:37:05 PM »
If this analysis is correct, and if it is the case that the GOP has been effective in reaching low-reliance voters with the emphasis on early/absentee voting, then the results could be in Romney's favor because the republican base - the reliable republican voters - will absolutely turn out on election day in full force to vote against Obama.  I intend to be first in line at my polling place, and I will certainly not be voting for Obama.
« Last Edit: November 02, 2012, 09:37:35 PM by Oceander »

Offline Chieftain

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Re: Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2012, 10:21:07 PM »
There are a lot of Democrats who voted for Obama in 2008 that are voting him out or just staying home this time.  Sure, Obama will win 95% of the Black vote but that will not get him reelected.

Even without Benghazi breaking wide open, which it still could before election day, but now looks more likely for afterwards, Obama has been consistently polling in the mid 40's and if he cannot hit 50% at a minimum in these polls then he is a goner.

Offline Tunehead54

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Re: Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 02:51:23 PM »

Offline SouthTexas

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Re: Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2012, 08:55:25 AM »
Well you can one to the GOP totals, I'm done.  Actually niece was next to me in the booths and asked if she could just vote straight Republican so I guess I can attest to two.  :patriot:

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