Author Topic: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania  (Read 1000 times)

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Offline Lando Lincoln

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Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« on: October 27, 2012, 02:55:10 PM »
Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
October 27, 2012
By Stuart J. Moskovitz

There's a serious flaw in all of the polls which is misrepresenting the current state of the presidential race.  As Dick Morris has pointed out, the pollsters all assume the demographic turnout will be the same as it was in 2008.  There are many reasons why this is simply not going to happen.  Many African-American preachers have already indicated that Obama hasn't done anything for black people and that his views on gay marriage do not match their own.  They will not be lining up the busses to take their parishioners to the polls.

Let's see what this means. At this point, it is fairly well predicted that if Romney takes Pennsylvania, he takes the election.

This seems clear from looking at RealClearPolitics' current calculations.  Giving Romney Colorado, North Carolina, Iowa, and Florida, which is not unreasonable, Romney needs only 26 more electoral votes. If you give him Virginia, where he is slightly ahead, he needs 13.  He can do this with Ohio.  He can do this with Wisconsin and New Hampshire.  He can do this with Pennsylvania.  Few people believe he will win Pennsylvania, where he is trailing by 5% in some polls.  (Susquehanna Polling -- which is very accurate in Pennsylvania -- did a poll October 18 showing Romney up by 4%.  For some reason, RealClearPolitics is using its October 4 poll showing Obama ahead by 2%.)  In 2008, in Philadelphia, the mother lode for Democratic votes and a city with a majority-African-American population, approximately 688,000 people voted in the 2008 election.  Of these, 574,930 voted for Obama.  In 2010, however, when the Republicans swept to power in the House -- due to disenchantment with Obama, primarily -- only 422,283 people voted in Philadelphia.


More ----> http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/10/dont_be_surprised_if_its_pennsylvania.html
For the progressive, there is very little to love about the United States. Washington, Jefferson, Madison? A bunch of rotten slaveholders, hypocrites, and cowards even when their hearts were in the right places. The Declaration of Independence? A manifesto for the propertied classes. The Constitution? An artifact of sexism and white supremacy. The sacrifices in the great wars of the 20th century? Feeding the poor and the disenfranchised into the meat-grinder of imperialism. The gifts of Carnegie, Rockefeller, Vanderbilt, Morgan, Astor? Blood money from self-aggrandizing robber barons. Nat Rev

Offline Lando Lincoln

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2012, 02:55:59 PM »
This is my hope... Romney surprises and wins Pennsylvania.
For the progressive, there is very little to love about the United States. Washington, Jefferson, Madison? A bunch of rotten slaveholders, hypocrites, and cowards even when their hearts were in the right places. The Declaration of Independence? A manifesto for the propertied classes. The Constitution? An artifact of sexism and white supremacy. The sacrifices in the great wars of the 20th century? Feeding the poor and the disenfranchised into the meat-grinder of imperialism. The gifts of Carnegie, Rockefeller, Vanderbilt, Morgan, Astor? Blood money from self-aggrandizing robber barons. Nat Rev

Offline Oceander

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2012, 02:57:23 PM »
Has massadvj decided what he'll do now that the race appears to be quite close in PA?

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2012, 02:58:13 PM »
Has massadvj decided what he'll do now that the race appears to be quite close in PA?

Did you miss that thread, O? 

Offline evadRē

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2012, 03:33:30 PM »
Obama's core is deeply disenchanted and deflated.
Only his hard core sycophants are still in his camp, and that includes Pennsylvania.
I heard a speech by Mitt a few hours ago in Pensacola..it was inspiring.
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/27/14746155-campaigning-in-florida-romney-hits-obama-on-defense-cuts?lite
November 6, 2012, a day in infamy...the death of a republic as we know it.

Offline evadRē

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2012, 03:37:00 PM »
all the hopey changey mush heads are either voting R or not voting at all. Bear in mind, I'm not totally negating the 47%ers but 47% isn't enough and there's nothing else in Obama's camp. He's toast.
November 6, 2012, a day in infamy...the death of a republic as we know it.

Offline Oceander

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2012, 05:58:29 PM »

Offline R4 TrumPence

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I am Repub4Bush on FR '02

Offline Oceander

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Re: Don't Be Surprised if It's Pennsylvania
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2012, 06:03:32 PM »


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