Tuesday, October 23, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
Other than brief convention bounces, this is the first time either candidate has led by more than three points in months. See daily tracking history.
Romney attracts support from 89% of Republican voters. The president earns the vote from 82% of Democrats. Among those not affiliated with either major party, the GOP challenger leads by nine.
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, virtually all of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of last night’s final presidential debate. It will take a few days to see if the debate had a significant impact on the race.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
Republicans now have a one-point edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot. For most of the past few years, Republicans have enjoyed a larger advantage on this basic measure of the nation’s political mood. Over the past month or so, however, it has been close to even just about every week.
New polling data shows Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy up by a point over Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon in Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race. The Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings project that Democrats will end up with 48 Senate seats, the Republicans 47, with five remaining Toss-Ups. In addition to Connecticut, the races in Massachusetts, Montana, Virginia and Wisconsin remain Toss-Ups.
New data will be released today for Senate races in North Dakota and Arizona.
In the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections, the president has 237 Electoral Votes and Romney 235. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Seven states with 66 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire.
A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 50% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends). http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll/