Author Topic: PPP...Obama leads by 1 point in tracker  (Read 587 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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PPP...Obama leads by 1 point in tracker
« on: October 19, 2012, 10:38:29 AM »
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-by-1-point-in-tracker.html

October 19, 2012
Obama leads by 1 point in tracker

PPP's three day rolling national tracking poll finds Barack Obama pulling slightly ahead of Mitt Romney based on interviews conducted between Tuesday and Thursday. Obama's at 48% to 47% for Romney after leading by small margins with voters polled on each of the two nights following Tuesday's debate.

The numbers with Republicans and independents are unchanged after Monday's interviews were dropped off and replaced with Thursday's. But Obama's seen a small improvement with Democrats now, going from an 84/13 lead to an 86/12 one with his party base. Obama's deficit among white voters has also declined from 20 points at 58/38 to 18 points at 57/39. 20 points is something of a magic number in terms of what Romney needs to do with white voters in order to win the election, and if Obama can keep him below that he'll probably pull it out.

Obama is losing by small margins in every age group except for young voters- his 60/36 advantage with them provides his overall lead. The candidates' numbers along gender lines are completely opposite of each other- Obama leads 51/44 with women and Romney leads 51/44 with men.

Obama's approval remains steady at 46/50. Romney's favorability has dipped slightly back into negative territory at 47/48, the first time we've seen that in our national polling since his big victory in the first debate.


results
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TrackingPoll_1019.pdf

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Online mystery-ak

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Re: PPP...Obama leads by 1 point in tracker
« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2012, 10:39:27 AM »
Almost the same as Rasmussen...I now expect to see a drop in the Gallup released at noon

http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,79111.msg339010.html#msg339010

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Online mystery-ak

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Re: PPP...Obama leads by 1 point in tracker
« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2012, 11:00:21 AM »
October 19, 2012

Latest National Polls
Here are the latest national polls of the presidential race:

Hartford Courant/UConn: Obama 48%, Romney 45%

Public Policy Polling: Obama 48%, Romney 47%

Rasmussen: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

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Online mystery-ak

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Re: PPP...Obama leads by 1 point in tracker
« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2012, 11:08:41 AM »
Quote
NumbersMuncher ?@NumbersMuncher

PPP daily tracking shows Obama going up 1, 48-47. Romney leads by 5 w/ indys and O underwater w/ approval at 46-50. Sample is D+4.


Quote
NumbersMuncher ?@NumbersMuncher

Whats funny is the PPP and Rasmussen daily have ALMOST identical #s for Romney/Obama among Dep/Rep/Indy. This election comes down to turnout
« Last Edit: October 19, 2012, 11:09:26 AM by mysteR˛y-ak »

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