Author Topic: Gallup on the presidential election  (Read 900 times)

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Offline pjohns

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Gallup on the presidential election
« on: October 17, 2012, 02:36:25 PM »
This could be enormous!

The latest Gallup Poll--of likely voters--shows Gov. Romney with a six-point lead, 51 percent to 45 percent.  That is up from a four-point lead, just yesterday.

Here is the link:  Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney

True, the popular vote does not elect presidents in the US.  But there is simply never that much of an advantage for one candidate, whenever the other candidate wins the electoral vote.   

Of course, it would be a huge mistake to imagine that a poll--any poll--may be taken as a sure prediction of the future; at best, a poll is merely a snapshot in time.  And there is still one presidential debate remaining--plus the possibility of a major "October Surprise."

Still, it is clear which way the momentum is going now.

This bears further watching...

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Gallup on the presidential election
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 02:38:22 PM »
I just heard this on FOX!!!  Obama is going to be pissed!

Offline Oceander

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Re: Gallup on the presidential election
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2012, 04:58:15 PM »

Offline pjohns

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Re: Gallup on the presidential election
« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2012, 02:33:02 PM »
Update:  The October 18 tracking poll of likely voters, from Gallup (it is updated daily, at this stage of the presidential race), shows a slight uptick for Gov. Romney:  The latest Gallup Poll shows a 52-45 margin for the former governor of Massachusetts. 

This seven-day rolling average may include a little from the second presidential debate; but probably not much.

Here is the link:  Gallup.Com - Daily News, Polls, Public Opinion on Politics, Economy, Wellbeing, and World

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Gallup on the presidential election
« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2012, 04:29:45 PM »
Since they do a rolling 7-day average does this mean Romney picked up more votes than Obama from the debate Tuesday night?????????

Offline truth_seeker

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Re: Gallup on the presidential election
« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2012, 04:57:16 PM »
"God must love the common man, he made so many of them.�  Abe Lincoln

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Gallup on the presidential election
« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2012, 04:59:22 PM »
I think the 7 days would only include one day after the debate--Wednesday.

Exactly - so if there was a slight uptick instead of it being flat or even showing a slight drop has to men that Romney came out of the debate unscathed.


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