Author Topic: 7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map  (Read 717 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map
« on: October 16, 2012, 05:50:19 PM »
http://news.investors.com/politics-andrew-malcolm/101612-629452-mitt-romney-gains-in-electoral-votes-on-obama.htm?p=full

7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map
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By ANDREW MALCOLMPosted 09:02 AM ET



Karl Rove's weekly analysis of his updated Electoral Map is here:

"Seven states changed status and strengthened for Mitt Romney after two weeks of favorable state polling following his impressive performance in the first presidential debate.

"Montana moved from 'lean' to 'safe' Romney; North Carolina moved from 'toss up to 'lean' Romney; Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Nevada moved from 'lean' Obama to 'toss up;' and Connecticut shifted from 'safe' to 'lean' Obama.

"Mr. Romney now has a total of 159 'safe' Electoral College votes with four 'lean' states (47 EC votes), while Barack Obama is down to 194 'safe' EC votes and three 'lean' states (43 EC votes).

"There are eight states (95 EC votes) in the 'toss up' column, although Mr. Romney is leading in Florida and Colorado, is tied with Mr. Obama in Virginia, and is gaining ground in Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Iowa."

Background: We launched a special new feature in this column in August. Now through election day we'll publish the famous electoral map of the presidential race designed and researched by veteran political strategist Karl Rove.

It is a custom-made 50 state-by-state breakdown of the race at this moment in time, based upon the latest polls from each state. (Scroll down for Rove's full methodology.)

This new feature comes thanks to special permission from Rove, whose website is Rove.com and Twitter handle is @KarlRove. We recommend following him and regularly checking his website, which contains a variety of information on the presidential contest, polls and other links, including his Wall Street Journal columns.


Note on methodology change: To get the best read of the state of the race, the final three weeks of Electoral College maps will use the average of all public telephone polls (Internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 14 days of the map's release date (all polls earlier than that will drop off). For example, the map published on October 15 does not include any poll earlier than October 1, except if the latest poll in a state was conducted before that date (for example, the most recent poll in Vermont was taken on August 31).

Methodology: For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 30 days of the map's release date (all polls earlier than that will drop off). For example, the map published on September 17 does not include any poll earlier than August 17, except if the latest poll in a state was conducted before August 17 (for example, the most recent poll in Indiana was taken on August 1).

States within a three-point lead for the Republican or Democratic candidate are classified as toss-ups; states between a five-to-eight-point lead for the Republican or Democratic candidate are classified as "lean" for that candidate; states outside the eight-point lead are allocated to the respective party.

Please note: for some states, the most recent polls available at this time are up to one year old and other states with no polling yet available have been classified Republican or Democrat based on their 2008 results.

Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/politics-andrew-malcolm/101612-629452-mitt-romney-gains-in-electoral-votes-on-obama.htm#ixzz29V8i9dii

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Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: 7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 07:13:28 PM »
To be able to pick off Wisconsin would be so sweet.

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: 7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2012, 08:35:57 PM »
To be able to pick off Wisconsin would be so sweet.

That is going to be tough, they will hold the results from Madison until they see what number they need to produce.

Offline Scottftlc

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Re: 7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map
« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2012, 08:39:27 PM »
The good news is making me nervous.
Well, George Lewis told the Englishman, the Italian and the Jew
You can't open your mind, boys, to every conceivable point of view

...Bob Dylan

Offline Gazoo

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Re: 7 key states move toward Romney on new Rove Electoral Map
« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2012, 08:58:34 PM »
I won't even look at RCP's map anymore they had GA as barely in Romney's column. They are as insane as that Nate Silver.

I did think the headlines were interesting there. MSNBC Obama a Comeback KId VOMIT they had that written two days ago!

Quote
REAL CLEAR POLITICS WEDNESDAY

President Punches Hard, Hits the Mark - Eugene Robinson, Washington Post

Why Romney Won: It's the Future, Stupid - Michael Goodwin, NY Post

President Obama: The New Comeback Kid? - Steve Benen, MSNBC

Don't Be Fooled, That Debate Helped Romney - Erick Erickson, RedState

Obama Put an End to Questions on Libya - Kevin Drum, Mother Jones

So Obama Knew It Was Terrorism on Day Two... - Michael Walsh, NRO

Why Did They Spend 2 Weeks Blaming a Video? - Neal Boortz, Nealz Nuze

When Demagogues Make a Slip - Ed Kilgore, Washington Monthly

Romney Goes From Etch A Sketch to Sketchy - E.J. Dionne, Wash Post

Obama's Auto Bailout Was a Payoff to Union - Liz Peek, The Fiscal Times

Latest Polls: Gallup: Romney +6, IBD: Obama +2 |  WI, NH, NV, MT, NJ
"The Tea Party has a right to feel cheated.

When does the Republican Party, put in the majority by the Tea Party, plan to honor its commitment to halt the growth of the Federal monolith and bring the budget back into balance"?


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