I am beginning to think that the road to the presidency leads through Ohio. If Gov. Romney loses The Buckeye State, it is still possible that he could win the presidency. Theoretically, at least. But almost all of the other battleground states would then have to go his way; which is certainly not an impossibility, but it is an improbability.
Moreover, for the Republican candidate to win the presidency without having first won the state of Ohio is simply unprecedented. Of course, there is always a first time, as the old saying goes. But to lean upon such a very thin reed does not strike me as being especially wise.
That is why I am looking very closely now at the latest polls from the state of Ohio.
The RealClearPolitics average shows President Obama up in Ohio by just over two percentage points, 48.3 percent to 46.1 percent. But that includes the Democrat-friendly Public Policy Polling (which shows a five-point lead for the president), along with two other outliers: The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll shows a six-point advantage for the president, and the CNN/Opinion Research Poll shows President Obama up by four points.
A slight majority of Ohio polls show the race very tight there: two polls have President Obama up by a single digit (Rasmussen Reports and Survey USA), whereas two others have Gov. Romney up by the same margin (Gravis Marketing and ARG).
Here is the link: RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Ohio: Romney vs. Obama
Does anyone have any thoughts on this matter?