Author Topic: Poll: Obama holds big lead over Romney among Hispanic voters nationwide; margin much smaller in Florida  (Read 474 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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 Posted on Sun, Oct. 14, 2012   
Poll: Obama holds big lead over Romney among Hispanic voters nationwide; margin much smaller in Florida

By Marc Caputo and Patricia Mazzei
Mitt Romney is closing the gap on President Barack Obama among likely Hispanic Florida voters, a majority of whom say they’re not better off than four years ago, according to a new Florida International University/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll.

Obama is ahead of Romney 51-44 percent among Hispanics, a relatively narrow lead that could spell trouble for a Democratic campaign that’s counting on minority support as non-Hispanic white voters flock to the Republican ticket in droves.

In the rest of the country, however, it’s a different story for Obama when it comes to likely Hispanic voters.

The president wallops Romney 66-31 percent overall across the U.S., according to the poll’s national survey of 1,000 likely Hispanic voters. It was taken Oct. 10-11 along with the 720-voter poll in Florida.

The difference here: Cuban-American voters, who are overwhelmingly Republican and who appear to be increasingly excited about Romney’s campaign.

“What’s remarkable is the demographic split in Florida: Puerto Rican and Dominican and other Hispanic voters trust Obama. Cubans just don’t,” said Eduardo Gamarra, an FIU professor of Latin American studies who conducted the poll with his political research firm, the Newlink Group.

In the national and Florida surveys, Cuban voters consistently gave Obama low marks on handling the economy, immigration and foreign policy. Puerto Rican and Dominican voters said the opposite.


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That's an interesting statistic and demonstrates the importance of viewing various slices of the electorate state by state rather than on a simple national level.  Why?  Because most of the states are not swing states, so increasing the percentage of Hispanic voters who prefer Romney in those states is not likely to change the election results from that state.  Where it does matter is in swing states, like Florida.  In other words, what the Hispanic slice of the national electorate thinks of Romney is not particularly relevant; it's what the Hispanic slices of the electorate in each state, and the swing states in particular, think of Romney that's important.
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