Author Topic: PPP Ohio poll: Obama 51, Romney 46  (Read 616 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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PPP Ohio poll: Obama 51, Romney 46
« on: October 13, 2012, 09:11:29 PM »
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/10/ppp-ohio-poll-obama-romney-138382.html?hp=l1

PPP Ohio poll: Obama 51, Romney 46

   
By ALEXANDER BURNS |
10/13/12 7:41 PM EDT

The full writeup hasn't posted yet on the Public Policy Polling website, but the Democratic firm previews the top lines from its latest Ohio survey on Twitter:

Quote

    @ppppolls Barack Obama leads our new Ohio poll 51-46, not much different from 2 weeks ago when it was 49-45

    @ppppolls 19% of Ohioans say they've already voted and Obama has a 76-24 advantage with them. Romney up 51-45 with folks who haven't voted yet

    @ppppolls Ohio voters think Biden won the debate Thursday night 46-37, including 44-32 with independents

This is the third public poll -- following CNN and NBC/WSJ/Marist -- to show the president holding onto his lead in Ohio even as Mitt Romney's standing has improved nationally in the aftermath of the first debate.

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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: PPP Ohio poll: Obama 51, Romney 46
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2012, 09:27:28 PM »
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-46-in-ohio.html#more

October 13, 2012
Obama leads 51-46 in Ohio

PPP's newest Ohio poll finds Barack Obama leading 51-46, a 5 point lead not too different from our last poll two weeks ago when he led 49-45.

The key finding on this poll may be how the early voters are breaking out. 19% of people say they've already cast their ballots and they report having voted for Obama by a 76-24 margin. Romney has a 51-45 advantage with those who haven't voted yet, but the numbers make it clear that he already has a lot of ground to make up in the final three weeks before the election.

We've found a major improvement in Mitt Romney's image in most of the states that we've polled since the Presidential debate, but Ohio is an exception. His favorability now is a 45/51 spread, showing no improvement from his 45/49 breakdown two weeks ago. Obama meanwhile has seen a small spike in his approval rating, from 48/49 to 50/48.

The Vice Presidential debate may have given Obama at least a small boost as well. 46% of Ohio voters think Joe Biden won it to 37% who believe Paul Ryan was the victor. Biden's advantage is 44/32 with independents. 62% of both Democrats and Republicans say they're 'very excited' to vote this fall, reversing a trend we saw in some post-Presidential debate polling of GOP voters expressing more enthusiasm about the election this year.

One thing clear from our poll: Republican efforts to make a big deal out of Libya aren't succeeding. By a 51/43 margin, voters trust Obama more than Romney on dealing with that issue. Obama also has a 51/46 advantage on dealing with the economy that mirrors his overall lead.

One reason Romney might be struggling to get traction in Ohio even as he surges elsewhere is his record on the auto bailout. Voters in the state support it by a 54/37 margin, including 58/35 with independents. They think Obama would be better than Romney for the auto industry 50/43, and 79% of voters consider it to be an important issue including 42% who say it's 'very important.'

In the US Senate race Sherrod Brown leads Republican challenger Josh Mandel 49-42, little change from a 49-41 advantage two weeks ago. Brown has narrowly positive approval numbers on this poll with 45% of voters giving him good marks to 43% who disapprove. Mandel meanwhile continues to be unpopular with only 37% of voters expressing a positive opinion of him to 50% with a negative one. Mandel may have more to worry about in 2014- he trails a generic Democrat 40-39 for reelection as State Treasurer. This campaign- at least to date- has been pretty damaging to his image.

Others notes from Ohio:

-The state's referendum to create an independent commission on redistricting looks a little bit more alive than it did two weeks ago, although it's still an uphill battle. 37% of voters support it to 44% opposed, compared to a 26/49 spread last time. The main movement has been among Democrats who've gone from favoring it only narrowly (37/34) to pretty strong support (58/24).

-John Kasich has a 42/41 approval spread and leads a hypothetical Democratic opponent 45-42.

-John Boehner's very unpopular in his home state with a 33/46 approval rating. Nevertheless Republicans lead the generic Congressional ballot 44-42.

-Rob Portman has a 35/25 approval rating. 40% of voters have no opinion about him.



October 12-13, 2012
survey of 880 likely voters

Democrat ........................................................ 40%
Republican...................................................... 36%
Independent/Other.......................................... 24%


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1013.pdf

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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: PPP Ohio poll: Obama 51, Romney 46
« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2012, 09:36:59 PM »
From the pdf link above

Quote
We've found a major improvement in Mitt Romney's image in most of the states that
we've polled since the Presidential debate, but Ohio is an exception

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