Author Topic: Who were the most accurate Pollsters in 2008?  (Read 864 times)

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Offline GAJohnnie

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Who were the most accurate Pollsters in 2008?
« on: September 13, 2012, 10:01:00 PM »
I think we need a standard to weight polling accuracy by. This is the polling accuracy break down posted after the 2008 Elections. We should not treat all polls as equally valid

2008 Presidential Election

The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection
polls (as reported on pollster.com)


.
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23

Offline Rapunzel

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Re: Who were the most accurate Pollsters in 2008?
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2012, 10:04:45 PM »
~LOL Gallup #17

Offline Oceander

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Re: Who were the most accurate Pollsters in 2008?
« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2012, 10:07:52 PM »
The comparison is somewhat useful but I am inclined to think that this election is sufficiently different from 2008 that the comparison doesn't yield particularly strong results.

famousdayandyear

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Re: Who were the most accurate Pollsters in 2008?
« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2012, 10:16:24 PM »
The oft touted Public Policy Polling (PPP) is not on the list.  LOL


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